Skip to content

Person

Abbas Araghchi

Abbas Araghchi is Iran's Foreign Minister, serving as Tehran's senior diplomat on nuclear negotiations, sanctions relief, and regional security disputes.

Known aliases

  • Abbas Araqchi
  • Araghchi
  • Araqchi
  • Seyed Abbas Araghchi

Current stories

investOne report1 publisher

Iran's Oman shipping map deal leaves the Strait of Hormuz shut

Tehran confirmed a route-management deal while saying reopening depends on alleged US violations. The prediction market cited by Cryptobriefing prices restored normal traffic by August 31 at 10.5%.

Reality

Evidence30
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives60
Confidence35
investConfirmed5 publishers

US bombers leave RAF Fairford for home bases after a threat Trump ties to Iran

US Air Force bombers have left RAF Fairford for their home bases after six arrests in a British terror inquiry, over a threat Trump says is linked to Iran. The move protects the aircraft, but Britain keeps the base and an Iran-linked proxy threat that its own officials say was already active.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 8%
Operator
Operator 68%
Investor
Investor 24%

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives55
Confidence64
investConfirmed3 publishers

Trump's 9,000-troop deployment could put three carriers in the Middle East days before the midterms

Trump is sending about 9,000 troops and a third aircraft carrier to the Middle East while calling more bombing of Iran after Nov. 3 "possible." For oil and rates, the case for a longer war rests on his refusal of an Iranian truce that offered to open the Strait of Hormuz.

Publishers:aljazeera.com fortune.com seattletimes.com semafor.com yahoo.com

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 53%
Investor
Investor 42%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives55
Confidence65
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Iran will widen attacks on energy markets despite its elites' private fears, Foreign Affairs essay argues

Foreign Affairs essay argues Iran's leaders, nervous in private despite claiming victory in the war begun February 28, will escalate against energy markets. Its view that no settlement would last makes the Hormuz energy shock a planning problem measured in years.

Reality

Evidence30
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+30
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence25
investOne report1 publisher

Iran weighs a US reply on Hormuz as the rial loses 12% of its value in 27 days

Iran says it has an official US reply to its proposal to end the war, and the rial has passed 2.5 million to the dollar, a record low. Tehran's price for reopening the Strait of Hormuz is cash, and a currency falling this fast makes each week of talks more expensive for Tehran.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence58
leadershipConfirmed3 publishers

Iran refuses to reopen Hormuz without sanctions relief after Trump rejects its offer

Iran will reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days only if oil sanctions and the US naval blockade end, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said. With Donald Trump rejecting the offer, budgets set this quarter are safer treating the disruption as the base case.

Publishers:cbsnews.com sg.news.yahoo.com theedgemalaysia.com

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 47%
Investor
Investor 48%

Reality

Evidence72
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives65
Confidence66
investOne report1 publisher

Iran's rial loses 12% against the dollar in 27 days as Tehran narrows talks to Hormuz

Iran's rial fell past 2.5 million to the dollar on Tuesday, 27 days after a record 2.2 million, losing at least 12% of its dollar value. Each week the Hormuz talks stall now costs Tehran through its exchange rate and Washington through gasoline prices.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives70
Confidence50
investConfirmed6 publishers

Iran puts its old Hormuz demands on a seven-day clock timed to the US midterms

Iran offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the US lifts its port blockade, frees frozen assets and waives oil sanctions. Tehran pitched the speed as help for Trump in November's midterms, and his own reply so far is a map calling the waterway the 'Trump Strait'.

Publishers:cryptopolitan.com en.sedaily.com finance.yahoo.com fortune.com m.economictimes.com scmp.com semafor.com

Perspective Coverage

7 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 36%
Investor
Investor 59%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption10
Hype gap+15
Incentives75
Confidence70
investOne report1 publisher

Brent regains most of its peace-talk selloff after Trump rejects Iran's Hormuz plan

Crude opened Monday higher after President Trump rejected Iran's Hormuz proposal, with December Brent at $98.69 and November WTI at $93.78. Brent has won back 87% of last week's drop and WTI only 44%, held back by talk of a U.S. diesel export ban.

Publishers:fxempire.com

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives45
Confidence45
investConfirmed3 publishers

WTI's 7.9% weekly slide widens its discount to Brent to nearly $12

US crude fell 7.9% this week to $92.41 amid US-Iran talks on Hormuz while Brent ended roughly flat at $104.32. Tehran's reopening offer rests on a June deal that already collapsed over transit rights, and Brent has fallen on it for just one session.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 20%
Investor
Investor 75%

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence62
investOne report1 publisher

Qatar's wealth fund commits $20 billion to JPMorgan, three-quarters of it public equities

The Qatar Investment Authority's new partnership with JPMorgan's asset management arm begins with a $15 billion public equities mandate, announced in the same week Qatar's Emir told the UN that the Gulf is in one of its most dangerous phases.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence46
Adoption30
Hype gap+12
Incentives62
Confidence46
investOne report1 publisher

CENTCOM dates its six-month Hormuz shipping high to the start of the war

Adm. Brad Cooper says the US military supported the transit of a billion barrels of oil in two months, about 16 million a day, and that Iran exported none, while monitors put Hormuz traffic well below prewar.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence34
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+36
Incentives78
Confidence48
investOne report1 publisher

Iran ties any Hormuz reopening to a US return to the Islamabad Memorandum

Abbas Araghchi's condition for reopening the strait points at a document each side accuses the other of breaking. Traders give a US-Iran agreement by September 15 a 2.9 percent chance, about 33 to 1 against.

Reality

Evidence20
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives70
Confidence30
investOne report1 publisher

Iran's negotiators want out; the Guard does not. The oil premium now tracks a factional fight

Pezeshkian and Ghalibaf say the war must end. The IRGC says fight to the end, and it used the 60-day talks lull to prepare for more combat.

Publishers:en.sedaily.com

Reality

Evidence34
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+38
Incentives66
Confidence33