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Person

Arthur Hayes

Cofounder and former CEO of BitMEX, a crypto derivatives exchange; now runs the Maelstrom fund and is a widely followed crypto trader and commentator.

Known aliases

  • @CryptoHayes
  • Hayes

Current stories

investOne report1 publisher

Fed minutes list AI debt issuance among the forces pushing long Treasury yields higher

Federal Reserve minutes from September record market contacts blaming heavy AI infrastructure borrowing for part of a 35-basis-point rise in Treasury yields. Crypto buyers counting on a Fed pause may find the relief stops short of a 10-year Treasury paying 5.28%.

Publishers:cryptoslate.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives45
Confidence50
investConfirmed3 publishers

Bitcoin gained 38% while CLARITY's odds of passing fell from 39% to 18%

Bitwise's Matt Hougan says the Senate's 49-50 cloture failure will not end the crypto rally, and points to a summer in which prices rose as the odds of passage halved. Only Congress can give the CFTC spot authority.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 7%
Operator
Operator 13%
Investor
Investor 80%

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption40
Hype gap+30
Incentives60
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

BitMEX's $50 monthly minimum costs a $6,000 leftover balance 10% a year

BitMEX is charging verified users $50 a month, or 1% a year if greater, on balances left after it closed its exchange on September 23. Below $60,000 the flat charge sets the rate, so a $1,000 balance loses 60% a year.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives55
Confidence60
investOne report1 publisher

ETH's 31% week beat bitcoin by 7.76 points and moved neither altseason gauge

Both trackers measure 90 days, and this rally is seven days old. BlockchainCenter's reading sits at 43 against a threshold of 75, which is a long way from a rotation.

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives65
Confidence52
investOne report1 publisher

Every FLOP token trading today is unauthorized, and the project's own calendar says so

Arthur Hayes says Flop Labs has issued nothing. The airdrop is dated Q4 2026 and the chain not until 2027, so with no contract address published, every FLOP ticker fails the same test.

Reality

Evidence24
Adoption4
Hype gap+68
Incentives78
Confidence48