A flat 250% risk weight on servicing assets could send mortgage lenders shopping for banks
Proposed Basel III changes would replace the mortgage servicing asset deduction with a flat 250% risk weight, American Banker reports. Servicing-heavy nonbank lenders could find a bank charter more attractive, but approval takes years and is not guaranteed.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives55
- Confidence55
Primary dealers have added $100 billion of Treasuries against Bowman's $5 trillion of eSLR headroom
Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman says this year's eSLR changes freed as much as $5 trillion of headroom at primary-dealer holding companies. Dealers have used about $100 billion of it on Treasuries so far, and she concedes the reform's real test comes in a selloff.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives65
- Confidence45
Chase's coming report counts nearly $10 trillion of assets and roughly 12 million businesses in transition over the next decade, with 8% of owners advanced in succession planning. McKinsey counts six million transitions.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives75
- Confidence55
Bank capital proposal frees six times more headroom for securitizations than for corporate loans
The minimum risk weight on certain senior securitization exposures would fall from 20% to 15% while corporate loans go from 100% to 95%, and Graham Steele says the private credit financing chain behind those numbers is already hard to map.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives62
- Confidence52
Banks return as second-lien sponsors using loans nonbank lenders originated
Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase are sponsoring home-equity securitizations filled partly with loans from nonbank channels. The capital rule that makes those deals attractive to a bank is not final. Nonbank sponsors are left competing on cost per deal.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption62
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives58
- Confidence56
Better Markets sues to have court withdraw Basel III proposal, seeks Bowman's recusal
Better Markets says Michelle Bowman met big-bank executives privately and coached them to file mild comments, and it wants the Basel III proposal withdrawn and Bowman recused. She said she directed no one.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives70
- Confidence60