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Climate Central

Nonprofit science and news organization that analyzes climate change, extreme weather and sea level rise, and reports on their local impacts.

Current stories

scienceOne report1 publisher

Attribution teams credit climate change with more of Hurricane Polo's strength than El Niño

World Weather Attribution and Climate Central estimate climate change added about 6 mph to Hurricane Polo's winds, against about 5 mph from El Niño. The comparison covers warm water only and is not yet peer reviewed.

Publishers:winchesterstar.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence58
scienceOne report1 publisher

A typical recent autumn would make 2026 the hottest U.S. year on record

Contiguous U.S. temperatures averaged 57.98 degrees F from January to August 2026, the hottest such stretch since records began in 1895, NOAA data show. Only a cooler-than-normal fall would keep 2026 from an annual record, Zeke Hausfather says.

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence68
scienceOne report1 publisher

Open water 37 miles from the North Pole records the wind as much as the melt

Two polar scientists agree the Aug. 29 satellite image is striking, but they disagree about what it proves. That gap matters: a single frame near the pole reflects a few days of weather, while the real trend lives in ice thickness.

Publishers:livescience.com

Reality

Evidence52
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+22
Incentives38
Confidence55
leadershipOne report1 publisher

A 75% Chance Of A Quiet Atlantic Is Not A 75% Chance Your Site Stays Dry

NOAA raised its below-normal odds for the 2026 Atlantic season by 20 points in August. The figure describes an ocean basin, and it says nothing about where a storm makes landfall.

Publishers:forbes.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption22
Hype gap−12
Incentives32
Confidence54