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Company

Cook Political Report

Nonpartisan U.S. political analysis outlet known for handicapping and rating competitiveness of Senate, House, and gubernatorial races.

Known aliases

  • Cook Political Report
  • The Cook Political Report
  • The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter

Current stories

investOne report1 publisher

GOP super PACs raise record sums to cover candidates who trail Democrats in Texas, Ohio and Michigan

Democratic Senate nominees in Texas, Michigan, Maine and Ohio out-raised their Republican rivals by $104.5 million from July through September. The GOP's main Senate super PAC, the Senate Leadership Fund, raised a record $272.9 million in the same quarter, CNBC reported.

Publishers:cnbc.com

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence68
productOne report1 publisher

Both parties are campaigning against data centers in the toss-up races that could decide Congress

At least 20 governor candidates have promised data center moratoriums, according to Multistate research cited by Wired. For teams counting on capacity that has not been built yet, where a site goes and who pays for its power are now campaign questions in several states.

Publishers:wired.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption15
Hype gap+25
Incentives60
Confidence50
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Cost-of-living concerns are driving energy policy fights in toss-up Senate races ahead of November

Senate candidates in Alaska and Michigan are pitching diesel export curbs and gas tax holidays to an electorate where 47% rank cost of living first. The oil and electricity costs behind those pledges look set to outlast November, whoever wins.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives60
Confidence50
investOne report1 publisher

Kansas bankers pay to attack Republican Sen. Roger Marshall over swipe fees

Kansas bankers put about $250,000 into a roughly $1 million ad buy against Republican Sen. Roger Marshall over his swipe-fee bill. With co-lead Dick Durbin retiring, a Marshall loss would leave the Credit Card Competition Act without either lead Senate sponsor.

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives65
Confidence50
investOne report1 publisher

House fast-tracks a 100-megawatt data center cost standard states can adopt at will

The Ratepayer Protection Act would let state regulators require AI data centers drawing 100 megawatts or more to pay for their own generation and transmission. Both of its sponsors are defending toss-up seats.

Publishers:cnbc.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives78
Confidence52
investOne report1 publisher

Winning four of six toss-up Senate seats would hand Democrats the regulator confirmation queue

Cook rates 21 Republican-held House seats as toss-ups against five Democratic ones. In the Senate, Democrats need four net gains out of six toss-ups. Only that chamber decides whether financial regulators get confirmed.

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives45
Confidence52
investOne report1 publisher

Huizenga's seat, not the national margin, decides who oversees crypto next Congress

Bankers' groups put ads on air for Bill Huizenga and Zach Nunn inside a single week. Three of the four House races American Banker flags are Republican-held.

Reality

Evidence52
Adoption28
Hype gap+38
Incentives74
Confidence44
investOne report1 publisher

Banking's 2026 problem is less the Senate majority than the Banking Committee roster

Democrats need a net four seats to take the chamber. The variable that bites banks sooner is who inherits the Banking Committee slots that Sherrod Brown, Andy Barr and Roy Cooper are chasing.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives40
Confidence42