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Company

Emarketer

Research firm publishing forecasts and analysis of digital advertising, media and commerce markets.

Known aliases

  • eMarketer

Current stories

leadershipOne report1 publisher

Walmart takes its shopper data to linear TV through Warner Bros. Discovery

Walmart, with a $6.4 billion ad business, now lets advertisers use its shopper data to target and measure ads on Warner Bros. Discovery's linear TV networks. It points proof of purchase at TV's brand budgets, starting slowly by Walmart's own account.

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption15
Hype gap+10
Incentives60
Confidence45
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Five UK retail media networks count an attributed sale five different ways

ISBA and MediaSense audited five major UK retail media networks and found five definitions of an attributed sale. For marketers choosing among more than 200 networks worldwide, the basic unit of return can change from one network to the next.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption45
Hype gap+35
Incentives65
Confidence50
investConfirmed4 publishers

A 37-association bank consortium picks 2027 to stop waiting in the core vendors' line

The BankChain Alliance says its members will choose vendors, set pricing and own the network. The deals they signed to get access in the meantime run seven and 10 years.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 25%
Operator
Operator 44%
Investor
Investor 31%

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption8
Hype gap+35
Incentives65
Confidence55
investConfirmed9 publishers

ChatGPT ads reach 40% of this year's revenue target in their first 200 days

OpenAI says its ad unit is annualizing at a billion dollars after fewer than 200 days of selling. That makes it a real media channel by any reasonable test. The country map is now what decides who gets to spend into it.

Perspective Coverage

9 publishers
Builder
Builder 12%
Operator
Operator 41%
Investor
Investor 47%

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption60
Hype gap+35
Incentives72
Confidence66
investConfirmed3 publishers

Amazon takes its near-zero DSP fee into OpenAI's ChatGPT ad pilot

Amazon's DSP has been charging close to nothing on guaranteed buys where The Trade Desk historically took 15 to 20 per cent. It carries that spread into a ChatGPT pilot that names one advertiser and no volumes.

Publishers:cnbc.com digiday.com qz.com

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 10%
Operator
Operator 43%
Investor
Investor 47%

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption20
Hype gap+25
Incentives70
Confidence60
investOne report1 publisher

Meta's Muse is the fourth AI agent Amazon has moved against

Amazon kept Meta's Muse out of its cart with a line in its own terms of service. Investors are already pricing which other intermediaries could say the same thing to an agent.

Publishers:cnbc.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption46
Hype gap+22
Incentives72
Confidence55
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Citi turns 6.5 billion annual card transactions into an advertising business

The bank says its new Commerce Media unit will sell brands access to more than 70 million customers based on their spending histories, and cardholders who do not want those ads have to opt out.

Reality

Evidence34
Adoption27
Hype gap+33
Incentives80
Confidence61
investOne report1 publisher

Amazon blocks the two OpenAI crawlers behind 50 million daily shopping queries

New disallow rules for ChatGPT-User and OAI-SearchBot went into Amazon's robots.txt without an announcement. Amazon earns roughly $56 billion a year from advertising that bills only while shoppers are on its own pages.

Publishers:digiday.com

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption58
Hype gap+22
Incentives74
Confidence66
investOne report1 publisher

Amazon extends its $70 billion ad business into OpenAI's ChatGPT

A pilot launched Sept. 10 puts ChatGPT ad space inside Amazon DSP, so OpenAI gets a sales force it never hired and Amazon gets the advertiser contract for inventory it does not own or host.

Publishers:pymnts.com

Reality

Evidence46
Adoption18
Hype gap+22
Incentives66
Confidence52
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Barclays' $102bn ChatGPT ad forecast fits inside a single Google revenue line

Barclays puts ChatGPT at $102bn of advertising by 2030, under half of Google's $224bn search line. Almost all of the growth in that model comes from a twentyfold rise in revenue per query, which is where the uncertainty sits.

Publishers:ppc.land

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+38
Incentives68
Confidence57
investOne report1 publisher

Beachwaver books about $2,000 of gross sales for every hour it stays on TikTok live

A quarter of the brand's $1 million of 2026 TikTok Shop sales came from live shows, and TikTok's own growth numbers say the category is expanding mainly by adding hours, which makes the staffed hour the thing to underwrite.

Publishers:cnbc.com

Reality

Evidence54
Adoption67
Hype gap+24
Incentives76
Confidence58
productOne report1 publisher

Meta's 2026 Capex Plan More Than Doubles Two Years of Spending; the Product It Funds Is Still on Paper

Fast Company puts Meta's 2026 capital plan at $130bn to $145bn and Zuckerberg's superintelligence manifesto at 6,537 words. For anyone routing traffic across model vendors, that pairing makes Meta the hardest row in the table to forecast.

Publishers:fastcompany.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption22
Hype gap+45
Incentives68
Confidence45