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Foreign Affairs

American bimonthly magazine on international relations and foreign policy, published by the Council on Foreign Relations since 1922.

Known aliases

  • foreignaffairs.com

Current stories

leadershipOne report1 publisher

Essay urges France and Britain to anchor a renewed NATO nuclear bargain

Foreign Affairs published an essay arguing that France and the United Kingdom should lead a renewed US-European nuclear bargain. It starts from the author's claim that European governments no longer count on Washington to defend them.

Reality

Evidence30
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence35
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Foreign Affairs essay says China and Russia help Iran hit US bases without entering the war

China and Russia supplied Iran satellite imagery ahead of strikes on US bases, according to a Foreign Affairs essay citing U.S. officials. The essay argues this lets a hostile bloc shape a war at low cost while Washington strains its partnerships.

Reality

Evidence35
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+30
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence40
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Delhi's exam protests have become a dispute over the Election Commission's credibility

Delhi protesters demand the chief election commissioner resign over a purge of more than 130 million names from draft voter lists, Foreign Affairs reports. It judges Modi in no danger of falling, yet calls the protests the most significant challenge to his authority since 2014.

Reality

Evidence35
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence40
leadershipOne report1 publisher

LandSpace becomes the first Chinese firm to recover a rocket booster on land

LandSpace recovered a rocket booster on land on August 19, the first time a Chinese firm has done so. Foreign Affairs puts Chinese company launches at 92 a year, up from 39 in 2020, against a US that still flies more than twice as many.

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption35
Hype gap+25
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence45
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Foreign Affairs essay argues AI's promise is what inflates its market bubble

Foreign Affairs says roughly 30% of Americans use AI less than four years after ChatGPT, five times the share for earlier technologies at comparable stages. The essay treats that speed as fuel for a market bubble, pointing to ten AI stocks that supplied around half of this year's S&P 500 returns.

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption60
Hype gap
Not scored
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence40
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Iran will widen attacks on energy markets despite its elites' private fears, Foreign Affairs essay argues

Foreign Affairs essay argues Iran's leaders, nervous in private despite claiming victory in the war begun February 28, will escalate against energy markets. Its view that no settlement would last makes the Hormuz energy shock a planning problem measured in years.

Reality

Evidence30
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+30
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence25
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Security-first Latin American leaders lose ground as Hormuz and El Niño push up prices

Chile's President José Antonio Kast lost 14 approval points in March after refusing energy subsidies as the Hormuz closure raised prices. Voters across the region are punishing governments that fail on living costs, whatever their ideology, so policy is set to keep swinging.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence40
leadershipOne report1 publisher

A staged supermajority hands Putin cover to escalate through the winter

Foreign Affairs argues last weekend's United Russia landslide was organised in advance to display total commitment to the war, while the Levada Center's own numbers show approval and public morale falling underneath it.

Reality

Evidence44
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+22
Incentives58
Confidence46
leadershipOne report1 publisher

EU productivity has slid from almost 95 percent of the US level to 80 since 2000

A Foreign Affairs essay counts about 30 percent of the Draghi recommendations implemented by mid-2026 and argues that even full adoption would leave the gap open, because the barriers are Europe's own labor, tax and regulatory layers.

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption30
Hype gap+22
Incentives55
Confidence45
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Houthi control of Bab el Mandeb removes the workaround for a closed Hormuz

Both routes that carried Gulf barrels around the closed Strait of Hormuz have now been hit, one by a drone and the other by a Houthi takeover of the Red Sea chokepoint. Oil is at $110 a barrel.

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption63
Hype gap+24
Incentives44
Confidence46
leadershipOne report1 publisher

The nuclear analogy AI executives cite rests on material that can be counted

Musk, Amodei, Altman and the CIA's director all reach for nuclear precedent, and a Foreign Affairs essay sets out why the three governance designs built on it assume a traceable inventory and state ownership that frontier AI lacks.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption20
Hype gap+15
Incentives70
Confidence50
leadershipOne report1 publisher

The generic drugs the US buys from India still start with Chinese feedstocks

A Foreign Affairs essay credits Beijing with escalation dominance built on 80 to 90 percent of rare-earth production, and argues that cutting direct imports from China has made American supply chains harder to trace.

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+18
Incentives58
Confidence44
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Foreign Affairs urges Guterres's successor to shrink the UN to three core functions

Antonio Guterres leaves at the end of the year after spending his final two years on cost cuts, and the three named candidates to replace him would take over a system whose revenue grew 85 percent between 2010 and 2022.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+18
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Investigations of the PLA's top two officers follow a process the party has run for a century

A Foreign Affairs essay counts three dozen generals formally purged since 2022 and argues the discipline strengthens the party. The problem it says the method cannot fix is succession, and Xi has named no one.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+18
Incentives40
Confidence50
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Waiting for Cuba's one-party system to implode raises the price of what follows

Marco Rubio told Axios in August that Cuba's government could survive into 2028 or beyond. A Foreign Affairs account of Havana in June describes a state that is losing the capacity any transition would need.

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives55
Confidence47
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Orville Schell expects the September 23 Trump-Xi summit to manage the rivalry at best

Orville Schell covered the May Beijing summit for Foreign Affairs and expects the September 23 meeting in Washington to run into the same limits. For anyone planning China exposure, the horizon is leader tenure.

Reality

Evidence44
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+12
Incentives55
Confidence52
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Pentagon tells allies it will pull every aerial refueling tanker out of Europe

An essay in Foreign Affairs dates each step of the American pullback from Europe. The cuts described so far land on refueling tankers, maritime patrol aircraft and the command structure, and only some of that can be bought back.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption55
Hype gap+20
Incentives65
Confidence50
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Finding China Inside US Utilities Requires Washington, AI Labs and Infrastructure Operators to Work Together

Chinese hackers hold access to American communications, energy and transport networks in order to prepare sabotage, a Foreign Affairs essay says. Its proposed remedy depends on the private operators that ran those systems through two decades of light regulation.

Reality

Evidence32
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+36
Incentives52
Confidence37
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Brussels closed four trade negotiations in the seven months to March

Foreign Affairs counts nine official EU candidates alongside concluded deals with Indonesia, India, Mercosur and Australia, and argues the bloc's slowness is why its terms hold while Washington rewrote its tariff authority in February.

Reality

Evidence46
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+22
Incentives45
Confidence50
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Foreign Affairs argues Russia's advantage expires when global disorder subsides

The essay's case against the terminal-decline consensus rests on conditions it expects to reverse, which makes the planning question less about how strong Russia is than about how long fragmentation lasts.

Reality

Evidence34
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+28
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence38

Earlier coverage

  1. China's surplus needs about $240bn of fresh foreign deficits a year to keep growing at 20%

    Invest · September 6, 2026 · Confirmed2 publishers

  2. Beijing's Nexperia ban stopped Honda plants in two countries at once

    Leadership · September 1, 2026 · One report1 publisher

  3. The chain of command survives AI; the judgment inside it may not

    Leadership · August 19, 2026 · One report1 publisher