DOJ's first tax enforcement surge counts $490 million in intended losses across 76 defendants
Justice Department prosecutors and IRS-CI said their first tax enforcement surge reached 76 defendants over more than $490 million of intended losses. In the one case officials detailed, the IRS paid about 58% of the refunds claimed.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
Social Security will raise benefits 3.6% in 2027 for more than 75 million Americans, the largest increase in four years. Advocates say it will not restore purchasing power already lost, and one group backs two bills to change the index.
Perspective Coverage
8 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 6%
- Operator
- Operator 54%
- Investor
- Investor 40%
Reality
- Evidence86
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives45
- Confidence82
Stripe, Fiserv and Checkout.com move card network membership inside their own Georgia banks
Georgia wrote its merchant acquirer charter in 2012, Fiserv processed the first transaction under one in April 2025, and Stripe opened for business in May 2026. All three firms are keeping their sponsor banks.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption52
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives62
- Confidence58
Transition relief now covers two of 45Z's five production years
The IRS published 45Z's 2026 emissions rate table this week and, in Notice 2026-53, a safe harbor for 2025 fuel. The Energy Department is still building the manure updates to the model that sizes each credit.
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives72
- Confidence62
Treasury puts the tax exemption of up to 18,000 schools on a nine-month clock
The proposed rule reaches admissions, scholarships and facilities. The first money out the door is a donor's deduction on a gift earmarked for the aid the rule targets, long before anyone gets examined.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives72
- Confidence55
IRS staffing cuts turned an $8,000 refund into a receivable with no maturity date
GAO says the IRS cleared about 98 percent of 177 million returns while the agency told those same auditors that staffing losses slowed the rest. Two Ohio CPAs are five months into that remainder, $8,000 outstanding.
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives72
- Confidence62
The IRS graded itself on the one thing DOGE tried not to cut
Douglas O'Donnell says the cuts landed on enforcement and technology, which is why a smooth 2026 filing season tells you nothing about the capacity that matters later.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption74
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives68
- Confidence55
Treasury's 10-Basis-Point Rule Turns Trump Accounts Into a Compliance Problem
Proposed regs cap eligible investments at 0.1% in annual fees and require an unleveraged US equity index fund until the year the child turns 17. Seven million accounts are already open.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption66
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives68
- Confidence56
Treasury Moves to Bar Undocumented Filers From Refundable Credits, and Preparers Inherit the Screening
Proposed IRS rules would treat the refunded portion of four credits, including the EITC and Child Tax Credit, as federal public benefits, with a status test measured on the filing date.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives74
- Confidence55