A study of 136 museum skulls from Hokkaido found winter snouts about 7 percent taller and 6 percent wider even as the braincase shrank. The authors call it a reverse Dehnel's phenomenon.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence65
The Sapporo startup's cap table now includes a rubber and plastic moulder, and its roadmap now includes large rocket motors. The in-orbit firing test is still ahead of it.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives55
- Confidence50
Four fossil beaks place Cretaceous squid 10,000 kilometres from every other known find
Squid fossils from the Western Interior Seaway push the group's known Cretaceous range to the other side of the globe, about a million years before the asteroid impact that has long been credited with spreading them.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives25
- Confidence55
Bowing raised attractiveness ratings only for Japanese raters in a six-country experiment
Kawahara and Osugi built 3D models that stood upright or bowed and showed them to raters in six countries. The increase in rated attractiveness appeared among the Japanese participants and barely moved elsewhere.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives30
- Confidence45
Thirteen summers of pole readings put Qaanaaq Ice Cap's loss at eight metres of water
A Hokkaido University team drilled aluminum poles into northwestern Greenland's ice every summer from 2012 to 2025, and the record they built traces about half of the growing loss low on the glacier to the ice itself slowing down.
Reality
- Evidence74
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap−10
- Incentives40
- Confidence66
Hokkaido team raises Mercury's measured contraction to 11.6 km after correcting for rough terrain
Shortening structures turn up more often on smooth ground than on rough. Correcting for that detection bias raises Mercury's radial contraction from 8.3 to 11.6 kilometres, and the authors say even that is probably low.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives40
- Confidence57
Rotating the light's polarization switches one MoOCl2 nanodisk between plasmonic and dielectric modes
MoOCl2 is metallic along one crystal axis and dielectric along the perpendicular one, and an Okayama-led team used that split to measure a dielectric quality factor of 45.3 in nanodisks on gold, about 5.7 times the plasmonic mode's.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives58
- Confidence55
DNA polymerase writes, kinesin motors weave: a two-stage line for dissipative assembly
An Institute of Science Tokyo team chained an enzyme to molecular motors to build DNA networks on a surface. Pull the ATP and nothing assembles, but the energy bill is still unwritten.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives68
- Confidence45