Honeywell's CTO says Forge Cognition will run with people in the loop for probably two to three years, autonomous mode off. The evidence so far is one vendor's pace, tested in Nvidia's own headquarters; how fast buyers move is still a forecast.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives65
- Confidence60
Honeywell and Ecolab say frontier AI errs too often and costs too much for physical work
Honeywell's CTO put frontier AI at maybe 85% accuracy against the 99.9999% customers demand, and Ecolab said top models can cost more than people. Ecolab has since cut its token costs 70% to 80% by tuning, so cost looks like the easier of the two limits to fix.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption40
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives55
- Confidence40
Azora's portable optical receiver latched onto Orion's signal from 240,000 miles
Azora says its portable optical ground receiver latched onto Artemis II's Orion capsule at 240,000 miles, working from a California parking lot. The result shows a drivable terminal can pick up a signal at lunar range, though buyers will want its data rate and price before signing up for a pilot.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence40
Honeywell's survey finds the chillers and badge readers outside most OT monitoring programs
Honeywell asked 603 critical infrastructure leaders what they actually watch. The chillers, elevators and badge readers that keep the controllers alive mostly sit outside continuous view, and teams with thinner inventories reported longer outages.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives72
- Confidence52
McKinsey partners time a corporate venture's first $10m at 31 months
Successful new ventures reach $10 million of revenue in 31 months on the partners' numbers, down from 38, and break even on 40% less capital. The shorter clock accounts for under half of that saving.
Reality
- Evidence20
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives80
- Confidence42
Schneider and Emerson commit $10.3 billion to the software layer above plant control
The two deals move industrial AI inside the automation vendors' stacks, which changes who a plant negotiates with over its optimization targets. The record does not yet say what that layer costs an operator to run.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption32
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives78
- Confidence40
Activism at 255 campaigns: the ballot got cheap, so the activist thesis is now a standing audit
FCLTGlobal counted 255 campaigns in 2025, 29 percent of them from first-time activists, and 32 US CEO exits inside a year. The weaknesses activists attacked are ones a board can score itself on.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives72
- Confidence40
Vertiv's 10x argues the AI infrastructure trade runs through the air conditioning
An 80-year-old air-conditioning maker is the S&P 500's third-best performer since early 2021, trailing Nvidia by 4.4 percentage points a year.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives58
- Confidence44