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Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

UN body that assesses and synthesizes global climate science, producing periodic reports used to guide international climate policy.

Known aliases

  • IPCC

Current stories

scienceOne report1 publisher

Tall ice cliffs retreated faster than models predict without runaway collapse, Needell's team reports

Caroline Needell's team found the tallest glacier cliffs retreating faster than models predict, yet none showed unstable retreat in satellite data. That moves the sea-level question to whether faster flow can thin the cliffs before they fail.

Publishers:newscientist.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap−10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence45
scienceOne report1 publisher

Seventeen inches of sea-level rise weakens the Chesapeake's storm surge damping in a Virginia Tech model

Virginia Tech modelers ran 90 synthetic storms against 2050 sea levels and found the Chesapeake Bay damps storm surge less than it does today. The size of that loss is worded in a way that supports two readings.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Saudi Arabia and Russia lead a push to move the IPCC's seventh report from 2028 to 2029

A group led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, including India and China, is pressing the IPCC to move its seventh report to 2029, the Guardian reported. The report was timed for the Cop33 summit in 2028, so a slip would put it after the meeting.

Publishers:theguardian.com

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap
Not scored
Incentives55
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

Santer-led review says the case for human-caused warming has strengthened since 2009

Benjamin Santer's team argues more than 30 years of fingerprint research make the human-warming case stronger than in 2009. Their Earth's Future review answers a July 2025 Department of Energy report that questioned the science behind the EPA's Endangerment Finding.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+12
Incentives55
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Two months separate the IPCC chairs' report schedule from the 2028 Paris stocktake

Nearly three years of debate have left the IPCC's 195 member states without publication dates for the next assessment. Under the chairs' proposal, approval would come about two months before the November 2028 Paris stocktake.

Publishers:thehindu.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives50
Confidence55
scienceOne report1 publisher

Handwritten DRC weather sheets show Congo Basin hot days nearly doubled between the 1960s and 1980s

Vrije Universiteit Brussel researchers digitized weather sheets from 37 DRC stations and found hot days nearly doubled between the 1960s and 1980s. The Earth System Dynamics paper is the first to document hot-extreme changes in the basin since the 1960s, its authors say.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

Three of six rings north of Manaus will bathe Amazon trees in 620 ppm of CO2 for a decade

AmazonFACE will raise CO2 over a patch of Amazon forest from about 420 to 620 ppm in a decade-long experiment due to start within months. Three treated rings and three controls will test whether the extra carbon stays in the trees.

Publishers:nature.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap−5
Incentives35
Confidence60
scienceOne report1 publisher

KIN-commissioned report judges every available carbon removal technology unready for Dutch scale-up

Researchers led by the University of Twente conclude in a KIN-commissioned report that no available carbon removal technology is ready for Dutch scale-up. They want rules on land, water, energy and fair burden-sharing in place before any national push toward deployment.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence35
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap
Not scored
Incentives30
Confidence40
scienceOne report1 publisher

Building-level maps locate heat-wave hot spots inside Bilbao, Madrid and Cáceres

EHU researchers scored heat-wave vulnerability for every building and open space in Bilbao, Madrid and Cáceres and found hot spots within each city. The team argues that adaptation money should follow the maps, down to which buildings get renovated first.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives45
Confidence45
scienceOne report1 publisher

EU-backed taxonomy maps the overlapping vocabularies of climate adaptation and disaster risk

EU-funded FAIR2Adapt has backed a new Climate Connectivity Taxonomy release linking related adaptation and disaster-risk terms across five platforms. The links are meant to let someone searching in one community's language reach work written in the other's.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption25
Hype gap+20
Incentives60
Confidence45
scienceOne report1 publisher

Himalayan monal shifts its call pitch amid human noise in a Kedarnath sanctuary valley

Garhwal University researchers say the Himalayan monal is changing its call pitch in a noisy Kedarnath valley, in one of two studies run over five years. Lead researcher Rajeev Lochan offers the bird as a warning sign for other mountain species, a case the studies can raise but cannot test, since as reported both measure only the monal.

Publishers:bbc.co.uk

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

Most ecosystem benefits keep climbing with biodiversity across 423 pooled studies

Researchers at King's College London and Imperial College London pooled 423 studies and found most of 23 ecosystem benefits rise steadily with diversity. Species appear to stand in for one another less than ecologists assumed, so even small losses tend to cut what ecosystems provide.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

Just 9% of field studies on climate and Mediterranean-type plants come from the Global South

South African researchers reviewed 128 field studies of climate impacts on Mediterranean-type plant communities and found 9% came from the Global South. That limits how far responses seen in California or the Mediterranean Basin can be carried to the Cape.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+5
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
scienceOne report1 publisher

A typical recent autumn would make 2026 the hottest U.S. year on record

Contiguous U.S. temperatures averaged 57.98 degrees F from January to August 2026, the hottest such stretch since records began in 1895, NOAA data show. Only a cooler-than-normal fall would keep 2026 from an annual record, Zeke Hausfather says.

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence68
scienceOne report1 publisher

Carbon Impacts Tracer scales a single fossil fuel project's emissions into eight kinds of damage

Carbon Impacts Tracer, a new open-source tool, links Woodside's Browse gas project to an extra week of dangerous heat a year for almost 200,000 people. The figure puts a count on harm that project backers have long called too small to trace to any one project.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives70
Confidence40
scienceConfirmed5 publishers

UNEP's route back to 1.5C rests on removing 10 gigatonnes of CO2 a year

UNEP now accepts the overshoot and describes a way back to 1.5C by 2100 that needs global emissions halved by 2035 and then removal running at a scale one outside researcher puts at 100,000 times today's.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 28%
Operator
Operator 53%
Investor
Investor 19%

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption6
Hype gap+45
Incentives50
Confidence60
scienceOne report1 publisher

Counting what happens without lime turns Mississippi Basin liming into a net CO2 sink

A Yale-led team writing in Nature argues that crushed limestone spread on farmland across 41 percent of the contiguous United States removes more CO2 than it releases, because the acid it neutralises would have released CO2 anyway.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption40
Hype gap+25
Incentives65
Confidence50
investOne report1 publisher

The UN dialogue's co-leads build their AI safety baseline from six existing frameworks

The co-leads of July's Geneva dialogue want models tested independently before release and incidents reported after it. Their list of things due by May is an evidence assessment, an agenda item and one cross-border sandbox pilot.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence44
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+22
Incentives68
Confidence52
scienceOne report1 publisher

Farm-level records cut the estimated carbon footprint of Bangladeshi milk by 27%

Six years of data from the Bangladesh Agricultural University Dairy Farm put milk at 5.18 kilograms of carbon per kilogram, with the cows' own digestion accounting for 48% of everything counted inside the farm gate.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+18
Incentives50
Confidence55

Earlier coverage