Nine crypto firms form a Quantum Alliance while executives split on 2028 and on freezing coins
Nine crypto companies launched the Quantum Alliance, which estimates that 6.4 million bitcoin, or 30.2% of supply, have public keys already exposed. Executives quoted by coindesk.com split on a 2028 arrival date and on whether to freeze vulnerable coins.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap
- Not scored
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
Coinbase wants Bitcoin's quantum plan to split the coin container from the signature scheme
Coinbase has published seven points for a Bitcoin quantum plan, led by a design that separates the coin container from the signature scheme. Coinbase calls the post an input to an open discussion, and custody teams can test their own setup against the list.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap−10
- Incentives55
- Confidence60
Bitcoin's 10-block quantum sweep model covers 2.5 million BTC, two-fifths of the 6.04 million exposed
CryptoSlate's model fits a hypothetical 2.5 million BTC quantum sweep into 10 Bitcoin blocks, well under the 6.04 million BTC Glassnode counts as exposed. Jameson Lopp estimated about 2.6 million exposed BTC might be unable to migrate, the group a legacy-signature restriction could lock out.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap−10
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
678,000 DGFiP records are being marketed with names, addresses and income figures together. France logged 33 of CertiK's 52 verified physical coercion attacks on crypto holders in H1 2026.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives40
- Confidence60
EU supervisors rank foreign dependence ahead of a private credit book at 0.6% of bank assets
The Joint Committee of the EBA, EIOPA and ESMA handed EU governments an autumn risk update that puts reliance on non-EU ICT, clearing, ratings and foreign-currency funding at the top, with AI-enabled attacks and quantum next.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives55
- Confidence45
Casa's security chief maps 360 physical attacks on the people who hold their own keys
Jameson Lopp has turned a GitHub list he has kept since at least 2014 into a filterable map of 360 robberies, kidnappings and assaults on crypto holders. The 2026 entries so far run at about two a week.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives68
- Confidence46