Britain tells Interpol that Argentina's Falklands arrest requests are politically motivated
Britain has asked Interpol to reject Argentine red-notice requests to arrest people involved in the Falklands' Sea Lion oil project. Argentina aims to criminalise those involved, the Guardian reported, so personal risk depends on which countries act on a notice.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap
- Not scored
- Incentives65
- Confidence50
Argentina's central bank will keep its 2022 ban on banks offering crypto this year, Juan Curutchet said, naming a second Milei term as a possible opening. That keeps the country's banks out of a market that took in $88.5 billion of crypto in a year, by Chainalysis's count.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 29%
- Operator
- Operator 37%
- Investor
- Investor 34%
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption35
- Hype gap−10
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence70
Arkham Intelligence says wallets tied to LIBRA's Kelsier Ventures now hold about $2 million, down from nearly $300 million in February 2025. Because about $100 million of that was USDC and SOL, a falling LIBRA price cannot explain the drop on its own.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives30
- Confidence55
Argentina plans to offer citizenship for a $350,000 Treasury contribution or an $800,000 seven-year bond, in a scheme its advisers say could raise up to $2.5bn. At best that covers about a tenth of the nearly $25bn in foreign-currency debt the Treasury faces in 2027.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 5%
- Operator
- Operator 39%
- Investor
- Investor 56%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives75
- Confidence60
Security-first Latin American leaders lose ground as Hormuz and El Niño push up prices
Chile's President José Antonio Kast lost 14 approval points in March after refusing energy subsidies as the Hormuz closure raised prices. Voters across the region are punishing governments that fail on living costs, whatever their ideology, so policy is set to keep swinging.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence40
Congress takes up interest-rate caps against a 37.6% delinquency rate among Argentine under-25s
Under-25 delinquency of 37.6% is about 1.7 times the rate implied for Argentine borrowers overall, and the data behind it counts people rather than pesos, so it cannot yet say whose loan book is impaired.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives68
- Confidence52
Some Patagonia data centre developers plan to generate their own power, bypassing the grid queue
OpenAI's letter of intent with Sur Energy heads a 1,450MW queue of announced Patagonian projects, and the developers behind it want prospective tenants walking the sites in February and agreements signed this year.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives72
- Confidence55
Milei threatens Sea Lion's developers two years before the project sells a barrel
Rockhopper and Navitas plan to start drilling within months and to pump oil in 2028. Argentina's threatened sanctions arrive in that gap with no measure, legal basis or named target published, so the risk is real and unpriced.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption18
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives78
- Confidence50
POSCO's Argentine brine: 15 million tons on paper, three million in the plan
Drilling since 2018 turned 2.2 million tons at Hombre Muerto into 15 million. POSCO's own production case keeps a fifth of that, and the $60 billion headline is a bet on price.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives74
- Confidence46
Hanke is now inside Venezuela's Assembly, and his plan abolishes the central bank
The Johns Hopkins economist advising Caracas puts approval odds at 50 to 80 percent. What passes or fails is the largest retirement of a currency since the euro, and the end of a lender of last resort.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+42
- Incentives78
- Confidence44
buildOne report1 publisher Amnesty's Argentina numbers price a national surveillance stack at about $600,000 a year
Amnesty says Argentina bought social-media monitoring, facial recognition and drones for at least $1.2 million across 2024 and 2025. The invoice is small because the expensive work sits elsewhere.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives68
- Confidence41