OG.com Markets asked the CFTC to approve cash-settled perpetual futures on single US stocks, trading 24 hours a day on weekdays at a 15.05% minimum margin. At about 6 times leverage they would sell the trade margin accounts now offer, so brokers will pick the winning venue.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives60
- Confidence60
An attacker pumped TONIC roughly 100x in twenty minutes and borrowed against it, which is the 2022 Mango playbook run again, and the only reason most of the money stayed reachable is a validator cap of 100.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 32%
- Operator
- Operator 37%
- Investor
- Investor 31%
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption40
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives35
- Confidence60
A 20-minute push on TONIC's price bought the attacker $74 million in borrows against it, but only about $6 million reached Ethereum before Cronos stopped producing blocks and rewound its own state.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 22%
- Operator
- Operator 50%
- Investor
- Investor 28%
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives50
- Confidence62
Robinhood's record 13.6 billion event contracts earned it about a penny each
Event contracts brought in $156m last quarter on 13.6 billion tickets, which is the arithmetic behind Robinhood buying equity in a contract supplier as well as listing its markets. OG.com's contracts go live on September 8.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption60
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives72
- Confidence48
Robinhood pays in paper for a clearinghouse it does not have to build
The brokerage takes minority stakes in Crypto.com and OG.com at Citadel Securities' $20bn and $5bn marks, and in exchange gets a fourth CFTC-regulated venue to route event contracts through without owning one.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption42
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives78
- Confidence47
Robinhood is paying Citadel's July price for an undisclosed minority slice of the venue that will clear volume Robinhood can move at will, which makes OG.com a fourth supplier rather than an owned engine.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 24%
- Operator
- Operator 32%
- Investor
- Investor 44%
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption42
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives78
- Confidence68