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Kyle Chan

Researcher at the Brookings Institution who studies China's technology and industrial policy, including its strategy for artificial intelligence.

Current stories

investConfirmed2 publishers

SIA's origin count cuts the US, Europe and Japan share of chip equipment and materials spend to 68%

China supplies about 5% of the equipment and materials US chipmakers buy but over 90% of certain rare earths, the Semiconductor Industry Association says. Headquarters-based supplier counts understate the upstream dependency, so decoupling is harder to plan than the 5% suggests.

Publishers:scmp.com semafor.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
investConfirmed3 publishers

Xi skips the UN General Assembly to negotiate AI with Trump in Washington

Twenty-two countries adopted a UN declaration on human oversight of AI systems this week. The United States and China spent Sunday discussing a bilateral risk-notification channel of their own.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 17%
Operator
Operator 55%
Investor
Investor 28%

Reality

Evidence64
Adoption30
Hype gap+14
Incentives58
Confidence62
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Amodei set a China condition on the slowdown he asked the industry to accept

Asked this week if he backed slowing AI development, Donald Trump said no and named China. Anthropic's Dario Amodei used the same argument to cap the pause he was himself proposing.

Publishers:theguardian.com

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+12
Incentives80
Confidence58
productOne report1 publisher

Humain built Saudi Arabia's new Arabic model on a Chinese startup's open-source system

Humain-m3 is based on an open-source system from Chinese startup MiniMax, while Humain buys its computing capacity from Nvidia. Other buyers are splitting the stack the same way.

Publishers:restofworld.org

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption60
Hype gap+15
Incentives55
Confidence52
investOne report1 publisher

High-Flyer's $31.8M of Beijing-blessed pre-IPO shares now mark near $180M

The quant fund that seeded DeepSeek with cash and compute now farms state-favored listings, where a fivefold debut and a 460% opening day outran a trading book that lost money in eight of nine products in July, while DeepSeek raises capital elsewhere.

Publishers:cnbc.com

Reality

Evidence61
Adoption66
Hype gap+22
Incentives58
Confidence57
productOne report1 publisher

The AI buildout is now a gas buildout: 189 GW of plants queued for data centers

Global Energy Monitor's mid-2026 count nearly doubled in six months. Behind-the-meter gas moves fuel-price and permit risk onto whoever signs the compute contract.

Publishers:wired.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption38
Hype gap+22
Incentives62
Confidence52
investOne report1 publisher

Asia's AI boom pays North Asia in margins and Southeast Asia in megawatts

Taiwan is heading for double-digit growth and Korea's July exports rose more than 60 percent, while the economies below sell power, land and back-end packaging that rivals can also supply.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence44
Adoption63
Hype gap+12
Incentives41
Confidence55