StarkWare's challenge drove the estimated compute cost of a quantum-safe Bitcoin spend to $59
Researchers in StarkWare's optimization challenge cut the estimated compute cost of a quantum-safe Bitcoin spend by 82%, to $59. The method covers only coins with hidden public keys, so the 6.04 million BTC with exposed keys stay outside its reach.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
Strive bought 2,000 bitcoin for $169 million last week, its biggest buy in four months, while its $90,170 average cost sat above a price near $86,000. Its $284.7 million in cash also has to pay a roughly 13% preferred dividend, so further buying depends on selling more SATA.
Reality
- Evidence78
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence72
A Bitcoin-mining chip designer has rebranded as an AI silicon IP vendor, and the pitch it raised on is power per matrix multiply rather than peak performance.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives70
- Confidence60
Fiber-optic drones are pushing counter-UAS buyers toward 250-gram kinetic interceptors
San Francisco's Mara raised $7 million for a tube-launched interceptor weighing 250 grams, on the argument that fiber-spooled and self-navigating FPV drones have made jamming unreliable enough that buyers now shop on cost per kill.
Reality
- Evidence22
- Adoption8
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives82
- Confidence60
Strategy sells 6,948 bitcoin at about $62,000 each to keep its preferred dividends paid
The company that vowed never to sell has taken $432.5 million out of its own reserve since May, and the dollars now sit in two accounts, one ring-fenced for dividends and interest, the other still free to buy bitcoin.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption64
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives74
- Confidence42
Khosla and a16z put $7M into counter-drone startup Mara, at 1/50th their Hermeus cheque
Mara's pre-seed round buys the same number of shots as 35 Anduril Roadrunner-M interceptors. The pitch is that cheap FPV attacks require an equally cheap magazine.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption21
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives79
- Confidence44
Public miners are unplugging hash faster than the network, and rebilling it as colocation
The listed cohort's realized hashrate fell 13.4 percent in six months against a 10.6 percent network decline. Two of its members now earn most of their revenue from something other than mining.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives45
- Confidence54