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Person

Mohsen Rezaei

Iranian political and military figure, a former long-serving Revolutionary Guards commander, now secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council.

Known aliases

  • Mohsen Rezaee
  • Rezaei

Current stories

investOne report1 publisher

Riyadh's King Khalid airport cancelled 99.7% of Sunday flights after the Houthi attacks

Riyadh's King Khalid airport cancelled 99.7% of Sunday's scheduled flights after Houthi attacks, according to Cirium data cited by Reuters. Exposure to Hormuz and oil cannot yet be measured the same way: it still rests on threats and talks.

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap
Not scored
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Iran's security chief threatens regional cables, data centers and AI sites if the war resumes

Iran's security council head Mohsen Rezaei threatened regional cables, data centers and AI facilities if intense fighting resumes, according to IRNA. The threat is conditional and unspecific, while the Hormuz disruption beside it is already running.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence45
investOne report1 publisher

Iran sends seven war-ending conditions to Washington through Qatari mediators

Mohsen Rezaei said the seven-point list went through Qatar and that Tehran is waiting on Trump. Three of the items are public and four are not.

Reality

Evidence20
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives70
Confidence30
investOne report1 publisher

Tehran puts a Hormuz exclusion zone on the calendar before drawing it on a chart

Mohsen Rezaei says the zone will run from the U.S. blockade line through the strait and into the Gulf, aimed at vessels Iran believes are trying to transit; the belief test, not the geometry, is what shipping has to price.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption10
Hype gap+30
Incentives82
Confidence45
investOne report1 publisher

Renewed strikes on Iran put $15 a barrel back into Brent in a long weekend

A monthlong lull had let planners treat the six-month war as a decaying risk. Then Brent went from about $80 to about $95 in the days after American forces hit rocket launchers on a Hormuz island.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence52
Adoption55
Hype gap+24
Incentives78
Confidence46
investOne report1 publisher

Iran's new security chief puts every Gulf barrel behind his sanctions threat

Mohsen Rezaei took over Iran's Supreme National Security Council in the August decrees and says continued economic war ends oil exports from the Persian Gulf. The collateral is mostly other producers' cargo, and the supreme leader who would sign any deal has not been seen in 182 days.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption25
Hype gap+20
Incentives68
Confidence45
investOne report1 publisher

Iran calls third-country compliance an act of war as Bessent readies new measures

Tehran's new security chief says any country backing Washington's Monday package is committing an act of war. The strait authority now naming ships for fines is itself under U.S. sanctions.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence46
Adoption44
Hype gap+24
Incentives74
Confidence45
investOne report1 publisher

Iran's negotiators want out; the Guard does not. The oil premium now tracks a factional fight

Pezeshkian and Ghalibaf say the war must end. The IRGC says fight to the end, and it used the 60-day talks lull to prepare for more combat.

Publishers:en.sedaily.com

Reality

Evidence34
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+38
Incentives66
Confidence33
investOne report1 publisher

Six months of closed Hormuz: four ships a day is the planning number, not the shock

Traffic at 6% of normal and Brent near $94 have held for six months with no resolution in sight. Iran's vetting queue, not price, decides who sails the Gulf's main export corridor.

Reality

Evidence18
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+32
Incentives58
Confidence20