Senate Leadership Fund paused its North Carolina ads after spending over $30 million there and put seven figures into Kansas. With 53 seats and room to lose three, Republicans are now paying to protect Roger Marshall and no longer Michael Whatley.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives50
- Confidence62
Kansas bankers pay to attack Republican Sen. Roger Marshall over swipe fees
Kansas bankers put about $250,000 into a roughly $1 million ad buy against Republican Sen. Roger Marshall over his swipe-fee bill. With co-lead Dick Durbin retiring, a Marshall loss would leave the Credit Card Competition Act without either lead Senate sponsor.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives65
- Confidence50
Cattle groups in Texas, Kansas and Oklahoma blame ICE operations for thousands of delayed shipments
Three livestock associations say ICE operations kept workers home and delayed thousands of cattle shipments, costing millions of dollars in lost revenue. Feed yards holding returned cattle pay first, and beef prices rise only if the absences last.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence40
Tillis says the CLARITY Act fails unless the White House bargains on ethics language
Crypto teams have spent a year planning around a federal token rulebook that Polymarket now prices near 14%. The blocker is a provision about the president's family business, and no trade association can redraft its way past that.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives65
- Confidence58
Two crypto senators sign on to interchange reform, and the $100B routing mandate gets real
Moreno and Lummis have cosponsored the Credit Card Competition Act, joining Durbin, Marshall, Welch and King. The bill would make banks above $100B in assets run two unaffiliated networks on credit cards.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives78
- Confidence38