A drag-forecasting neural network timed Cosmos-482's fall to within two minutes in a hindsight test
Indonesian researchers paired a neural network with orbital mechanics to predict Cosmos-482's 2025 reentry within two minutes. Low Earth orbit holds 25,060 cataloged objects, nearly double a decade ago, and the check covered only three falls, each tested after the fact.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
The four astronauts of NASA's Crew-12 mission splashed down off California on Oct 8, a day after undocking from the space station. The Guardian reported that capsule repairs held up their replacements by three weeks, adding time to a hurried relief tour that lasted eight months.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 18%
- Operator
- Operator 67%
- Investor
- Investor 15%
Reality
- Evidence78
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives35
- Confidence80
NASA's Crew-13 launched four crew Thursday on a Dragon due to dock at the space station 7 hours 50 minutes later, a U.S. record by NASA's account. NASA stated the record before the docking took place, so it holds only once the 7 p.m. arrival happens.
Perspective Coverage
7 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 29%
- Operator
- Operator 54%
- Investor
- Investor 17%
Reality
- Evidence82
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives45
- Confidence80
Crew-12 heads home in early October after crystallising cancer-targeting drugs in orbit
NASA's Crew-12, four astronauts from NASA, ESA and Roscosmos, is due back from the space station in early October. The agency's look back sets out what the crew's experiments in drug crystallisation, bone repair and quantum physics were built to test.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives65
- Confidence60
NASA's SpaceX Crew-13 will fly four astronauts from three agencies to the space station no earlier than Oct. 1. Its research includes human stem-cell-derived heart and Parkinson's tissue models, and their value will depend on how they compare with matched samples kept on the ground.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives75
- Confidence60
A cruise missile hit on the Progress Rocket Space Center targets where Soyuz vehicles are built, not where they fly. Roscosmos was already short of rockets before the strike.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence45
Bureau 1440's newest 16 satellites are stalling 250 to 310 miles below their target orbit
Moscow has treated a Starlink substitute as a priority since SpaceX cut Russian forces off on February 1, yet only 12 of the 32 satellites Bureau 1440 has launched are holding a durable altitude. The record does not yet say which link failed.
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption14
- Hype gap+44
- Incentives62
- Confidence61