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Seeking Alpha is an investing platform offering crowd-sourced stock analysis, market news, and financial data, including its Wall Street Breakfast briefing.
Michael Kramer of Mott Capital says tech ETF XLK broke its uptrend from July 29 and could test $175 support if it closes below its 50-day average. His bond-market thesis for AI rests on one hard figure, computer prices up 9.7%.
Reality
Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September 2026 quarter, net of fees, though ASML, Sandisk and Lam Research helped in September. Its manager blames a narrow market, with the S&P 500 2% off its high and 83% of members more than 10% off theirs.
Reality
Russell 2000 is up about 15.1% this year, but Furey Research found an average 0.5% gain across 11 midterm years, with gains in only 45% of them. The post-election record bulls cite looks very different once the last four midterms are included.
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ClearBridge added to Lumentum, Credo and Astera Labs in Q3 while the Russell 3000 Growth rose 0.5% and small-cap growth fell 9.4%. It says it used the AI volatility to broaden its tech exposure as its mid-cap growth benchmark lost 5.8%.
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Odds of a quarter-point September hike jumped to 57% from 40% after the new Fed chairman called the labor market strong, which means a consensus 55,000 payroll gain now argues for tighter money rather than easier policy.
Perspective Coverage
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Dynex Capital's new Series D preferred pays a fixed 9.375%, less than its floating Series C already pays, a Seeking Alpha analysis says. With the 10-year Treasury above 5%, a buyer of the fixed share carries the rate risk that the older share hands back to Dynex.
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Torex Gold reported about 93,700 payable gold-equivalent ounces while costs rose sharply, Seeking Alpha analyst Taylor Dart wrote. He calls the stock reasonably valued yet sees too little margin of safety at US$49.50 to start a position.
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France's harmonised inflation rate rose to 3.4% in September, above all 19 forecasts in a Reuters poll, preliminary INSEE data showed. Prices fell only about a third as much this September as a year earlier, so October's reading will test whether INSEE's energy-led rise lasts.
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GMO's Ben Inker and John Pease expect share supply to end the AI bubble, pointing to the June 2027 lockup release on roughly $2 trillion of SpaceX stock. Their argument rests less on AI revenue than on where buyers of those shares find the cash.
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August's roughly 25-30% gain inverted a decade of negative seasonality, and the mechanism was a record liquidation of bearish bets rather than a flood of new money, which changes what $79,000 is worth.
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Speculators built a record $51.4 billion net dollar long by late July, weeks before G5 currency option volatility sank to a post-COVID low of 5.33. Currency protection got cheaper even as year-end rate bets climbed from 3.05% to above 4%.
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The letter reads four breadth and credit divergences as a major market top forming. The most recent episode it cites, the weeks before April 2, 2025, was followed by a selloff the index has since recovered.
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The average REIT lost 4.48% in August, its second straight monthly decline, and 2026 FFO multiples contracted 0.4 turns at both ends of the market. Large caps still cost 47.1% more per dollar of FFO than small caps.
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Corn and oat futures are up more than 12% since the start of August on war, drought and two USDA yield cuts. Seeking Alpha reports the growers selling into that rally are in their most acute operational crisis in decades.
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Six of the eight positions Harris Associates increased in Q2 2026 are banks, brokers, exchanges or payments processors. The other two are Salesforce and Sysco, and the trim list includes an insurer.
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Power suppliers and equipment makers have lost multiple since June even as earnings and guidance rose. The Seeking Alpha analyst making that case puts the binding constraints in transformer queues and electrician hiring.
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Todd Vasos told a Goldman Sachs conference that middle and upper-middle households now behave like Dollar General's under-$45,000 core shopper. The national gasoline average is $4.476 a gallon, up from $3.189.
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A Seeking Alpha analyst values Berkshire Hathaway at $1.18 trillion, about 8% above its market cap, and rests the bull case on Greg Abel putting $10 billion into Alphabet and $6.8 billion into Taylor Morrison. He is long the stock.
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Mott Capital's Michael Kramer argues that deteriorating breadth in stocks and high-yield bonds, falling SOFR volumes and money fund outflows will meet another $317 billion of net Treasury issuance in October and November.
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A Seeking Alpha analyst initiated coverage on GH Research at Buy after the company resolved the FDA clinical hold on GH001, and the note rests its competitive case on dosing time and fewer clinic visits than SPRAVATO.
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Invest · August 17, 2026 · Confirmed4 publishers
Invest · August 30, 2026 · One report1 publisher
Invest · August 15, 2026 · One report1 publisher