SwRI team puts a probability on each far-side active region before it enters a solar model
SwRI-led researchers built a probabilistic framework that scores far-side solar active regions, using whole-Sun maps from 2010 to 2014. Helioseismic far-side detections sometimes prove to be ghosts, and the scoring is meant to keep them out of the models behind space-weather forecasts.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence45
American Supercritical pitches up to 50% more output from turbines already in the ground
The Denver startup left stealth with $8 million and a factory-built supercritical CO2 block that sits at a simple-cycle turbine's exhaust. Its case to operators is that the turbine itself needs no permit work.
Reality
- Evidence24
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+42
- Incentives72
- Confidence32
SwRI's new index scores whether a sodium cell can do an 18650's job
Southwest Research Institute has built an index that measures whether two cell chemistries can run the same duty cycle. Its first test set sodium-ion cells against the 18650 lithium-ion format used in laptops and power tools.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence45
Collision history barely moves an icy moon's odds of an ocean, Maryland-led simulations find
Marc Neveu's group ran the biggest collisions it could devise against simulated icy moons, and the result says a shattered past tells you little about whether a moon holds water under its shell today.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives55
- Confidence58
A Greenland comparison puts liquid nitrogen under Pluto's dark glacier streaks
The evidence for seeping nitrogen on Sputnik Planitia is a resemblance to wet ice in Landsat 9 images of Greenland, backed by simulations in which nitrogen ice several kilometers down melts and rises.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
For the first time, the Earth-Theia collision has been simulated with temperature-dependent rock strength. Some runs still make the familiar debris disk; the hottest assemble an intact Moon in about five hours.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives55
- Confidence64
Simulations that give Theia rock strength produce an intact Moon in about five hours
Since 2001, giant-impact models have treated Earth and Theia as strengthless fluid because geology looked irrelevant at those energies. Restoring temperature-dependent strength changes whether the Moon condenses out of debris or arrives whole.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives62
- Confidence57