WHO tracks a suspected pneumonic plague death at a Siberian research institute
The World Health Organization is working with Russian authorities after an employee at a Siberian research institute died of suspected pneumonic plague. Its spokesperson says the cause of death is unconfirmed and testing is still underway.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence45
Extensively drug-resistant Shigella rose to 8.5 percent of US isolates by 2023
CDC surveillance of nearly 17,000 Shigella isolates found extensively drug-resistant strains rose from 0 percent in 2011 to 8.5 percent in 2023. The resistance narrows what doctors can prescribe and is pushing clinics to ask how patients caught the infection.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
Russian authorities quarantined dozens of people after a Siberian lab worker's death that the Kremlin denies was plague. With coverage censored and US officials short of intelligence, investors have to judge the case from what governments do.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives68
- Confidence42
Russian authorities put about 200 people under observation after a plague-lab technician died of what officials call pneumonia of unknown cause. The response is sized for plague, and how fast it unwinds as contacts test negative will say more than the edited statements.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence40
Long COVID research pivots from cataloguing symptoms to testing candidate mechanisms
Six years and thousands of studies have produced leads worth testing, but the researchers doing the work say the missing piece is a reliable disease marker, which is exactly what a trial needs to measure anything.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives62
- Confidence60
Congo's Ebola count is doubling every 2.2 weeks against West Africa's 5.3 in 2014
For anyone with staff, suppliers or travel in the region, the useful planning number is the growth rate and the spread of health zones rather than the confirmed case total, and both point to a disruption measured in quarters.
Reality
- Evidence71
- Adoption62
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives38
- Confidence58
HPV's other cancer: a tripling in men's throats, and no test that finds it
Cervical cancer is falling where vaccination took hold. HPV throat and mouth cancers tripled in US data to 2004 and again in Danish data to 2017, mostly in men, with no screening test.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption44
- Hype gap−8
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence62
Nebraska becomes ninth state with Heartland or Bourbon virus in its ticks, and there is still no...
Two tick-borne viruses with at least seven US deaths between them are moving with the lone star tick, and diagnosis depends on a hospital deciding to ship blood to a specialised lab.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives34
- Confidence54
Congo's Ebola outbreak is now its largest, and the shelf vaccine matches the wrong strain
Bundibugyo virus has caused 5,021 cases and 2,378 deaths through August 16, reaching 1,000 cases in 40 days against 235 in 2018. The licensed Ebola vaccine was built for a different virus.
Reality
- Evidence74
- Adoption46
- Hype gap−8
- Incentives34
- Confidence63
A tetanus-diphtheria shot that sat at 30C for a year worked. Now the paperwork is the bottleneck.
A freeze-dried Td vaccine matched two standard comparators in a 60-person UK trial after a year out of the fridge. Regulators currently allow such excursions for 3 to 4 days.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption14
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives60
- Confidence55
A spreading PX1 cluster in Uganda dulls both drugs in Africa's front-line malaria pill
Whole-genome sequencing of parasites from hundreds of Ugandan patients links five variants to reduced susceptibility to artemisinin, lumefantrine and mefloquine, according to Nature Medicine.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives58
- Confidence52