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Works in Progress

Online magazine publishing essays on science, technology, economic history, and policy through the lens of human progress.

Known aliases

  • worksinprogress.co

Current stories

investConfirmed4 publishers

Sanchez takes Spain's defeated housing decrees to a November 29 election

Pedro Sanchez called a November 29 election after Spain's right-wing opposition killed two emergency decrees against evictions and property speculation. For owners of Spanish rental housing, the vote is a contest between the government that wrote those measures and the parties that voted them down.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 14%
Operator
Operator 37%
Investor
Investor 49%

Reality

Evidence74
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+8
Incentives30
Confidence72
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Iron broke the Bronze Age empires because farmers could smelt it at home

A Works in Progress essay argues the Bronze Age powers never returned because iron, unlike the tin they imported, could be made anywhere, and it leaves the comparison to drones today as an open question.

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+18
Incentives30
Confidence48
leadershipOne report1 publisher

A 1976 industrial chemicals law has cleared one engineered microbe in thirty-one years

White House staff settled the question in the 1980s by reasoning that genomes are made of chemicals, a stopgap that has outlasted every product category it captured. Biotech operators building risk models tend to leave that durability out of the calculation.

Reality

Evidence44
Adoption4
Hype gap+24
Incentives56
Confidence43
leadershipOne report1 publisher

A cotton tote needs 173 uses before it beats the bag it replaced

Works in Progress argues that landfill beats the recycling bin for much of what we discard. The evidence it supplies is mostly reuse breakeven arithmetic, and that is the half a procurement team can check.

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption20
Hype gap+32
Incentives55
Confidence38
leadershipOne report1 publisher

A serving officer argues plate readers intrude less than the stops they replace

Flock sells a camera for $3,000 a year against a typical $1 million department budget, which means money no longer decides adoption. The claim that it displaces pretextual stops rests on one officer's account.

Reality

Evidence30
Adoption55
Hype gap+32
Incentives70
Confidence40
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Transit's cost disease is a goals problem: $20m of bike path for 13 people at a meeting

Every worthy secondary goal bolted onto a transit system gets billed to the riders it exists to serve, and most of those riders have no car to fall back on.

Reality

Evidence48
Adoption62
Hype gap+18
Incentives44
Confidence52
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Daycare Does Not Break Children's Brains, And It Does Not Fix Economies Either

The claim that daycare traumatises children rests on cortisol readings and speculation about the amygdala. The official claims on the other side are barely sturdier.

Reality

Evidence38
Adoption62
Hype gap+52
Incentives66
Confidence44