Republican candidates test distance from Trump six weeks out from the midterms
Six Republicans have now broken with the president in public over immigration, the Iran war and a plan to cut beef tariffs. Two of the six put the break on the record with a vote. Vox reports his approval is reaching new lows.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
House bill would authorize $100 million for CISA to buy frontier AI access for critical infrastructure operators
Josh Gottheimer's AI Cyber Defense Act, co-sponsored by two Republicans and two Democrats, would have CISA procure frontier models for small water systems and utilities through 2031. Appropriators still have to fund it.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption8
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives68
- Confidence55
Burchett's bill would halt US diesel exports whenever the average tops $5 a gallon
The US national average is a record $6.51 a gallon, and Rapidan Energy puts the odds of a White House export ban at 35%. The flow that would stop is 1.5 million barrels a day, a fifth of world seaborne diesel.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives75
- Confidence45
Huizenga's seat, not the national margin, decides who oversees crypto next Congress
Bankers' groups put ads on air for Bill Huizenga and Zach Nunn inside a single week. Three of the four House races American Banker flags are Republican-held.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+38
- Incentives74
- Confidence44
The Coinbase-funded group is rewarding a vote already cast, in the chamber that already said yes. The bill is stuck one floor over.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption40
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives82
- Confidence58