The FT puts OpenAI's revenue $20bn below the widely cited $70bn figure
OpenAI's annual recurring revenue is roughly $20bn below the widely cited $70bn figure, the Financial Times reported. The shortfall largely reflects whether revenue is counted gross or net, which leaves the two companies' headline numbers hard to compare.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence35
Adobe's freemium creative base passed 100 million users, up more than 70 per cent, and management guided total ARR growth to 10.2 per cent for the year while third-quarter revenue grew 13 per cent.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 10%
- Operator
- Operator 16%
- Investor
- Investor 74%
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives60
- Confidence66
August re-rated software faster than any growth rate could move
A single month of trading undid eight months of AI-disruption pricing in B2B software. That is a multiple moving, not a business changing. The winners were sorted by whose meter the agent workloads run through.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption64
- Hype gap−8
- Incentives55
- Confidence56
Adobe's $27.50bn of ARR works out to $27.50 a year for each of its billion monthly users
Adobe reported record third-quarter revenue of $6.76bn and its billionth monthly active user on September 10. By Shantanu Narayen's own split, freemium expansion explains only about half of the lowered ARR outlook.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption72
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives65
- Confidence55
Adobe's guidance midpoint puts $65m of sequential growth on a $6.76bn base
Adobe's shares fell almost 5 percent after hours and were even again by Friday morning, and the open question is how large the AI-first ARR growing more than 150 percent is inside a $27.50bn total the company did not break out.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption66
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
AI revenue headlines now rest on definitions the buyer has to ask for
Venture investors told Business Insider that ARR at AI startups now spans signed contracts, token usage and one strong month, which leaves the buyer to supply the definition before the number can be compared.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives72
- Confidence58