A bitcoin wallet that has held coins since March 2020 sent 4,582 BTC, worth $377.6 million, to five addresses, and none has moved them. CryptoQuant's Darkfost reported negative Coinbase premiums with bitcoin near $83,000, so the move invites a selling read that no on-chain sale yet confirms.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 7%
- Operator
- Operator 19%
- Investor
- Investor 74%
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence72
Wallets tied to the US government moved 12,267 seized Bitfinex bitcoin, worth about $1 billion, to new unlabeled addresses. No exchange deposit was recorded, CoinDesk reported. Whether Washington is selling turns on the smaller sums it sent to Coinbase Prime.
Perspective Coverage
6 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 5%
- Operator
- Operator 27%
- Investor
- Investor 68%
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
Bitcoin fell to about $81,000 on Thursday as Brent crude rose above $105 on reports that the US may strike Iran again. Whether it holds the $82,500 support traders are watching now depends largely on Treasury yields and oil prices.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 7%
- Operator
- Operator 18%
- Investor
- Investor 75%
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives38
- Confidence70
Bitcoin traders add about $800 million of new futures positions before US payrolls
Bitcoin open interest rose $1.5 billion to $22.4 billion as the price climbed 3.4% past $86,000 before a US jobs report forecast at 90,000. Funding costs show the leverage plainly, but the claim that traders are leaving stablecoins rests on a market-share figure that any rally pushes down.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives35
- Confidence55
Myriad traders price Bitcoin's $90,000 October at 48% against a 5.29% Treasury yield
Myriad traders give Bitcoin 48% odds of touching $90,000 in October, a 7.4% climb that is half the month's median gain since 2013. Rates explain that discount better than fund flows do, since September's spot-ETF buyers have so far barely sold.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives70
- Confidence50
Bitcoin fell to $82,568 on Monday, about 4% under the $86,000 average cost of US spot-ETF holders, two days before its September and third-quarter closes. Corporate treasuries paid $80,500 on average, so Wednesday's close sets whether each group ends the quarter in profit or underwater.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 5%
- Operator
- Operator 13%
- Investor
- Investor 82%
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives45
- Confidence62