South Korea will put 1,000 trillion won of fiscal and financial support into its K-GX green plan through 2035, alongside 220 trillion won of private projects. Spread over ten years, that is 100 trillion won a year from the state against 22 trillion won from companies.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives60
- Confidence58
Nepal's Rasuwa flood request tests a UN loss and damage fund built around scheduled windows
Nepal is still waiting on the UN loss and damage fund a month after Rasuwa floods killed more than 1,400 people and left a rebuild costing almost $5 billion. How the fund weighs climate change's role, which it has yet to decide, will shape how fast vulnerable countries get paid.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence40
In IIASA's fair-share pathways, limiting transfers lowers 2040 fossil fuel use by 3% to 21%
A new IIASA-led study allocates a 2C carbon budget to world regions by responsibility and capability, then solves for the cheapest way to satisfy both. The transfers implied run from US$10.1 trillion to US$44.8 trillion.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives58
- Confidence52
Jefferies ranks data center demand growth outside the top five emissions drivers
Aniket Shah of Jefferies and Al Gore's Generation Investment Management both say AI power is a small part of a 50 billion ton problem, while the share of asset owners calling AI an environmental risk has doubled to 25%.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives62
- Confidence44
A tipping-points report scores 51 environmental solutions on whether scaling makes them cheaper
The framework, produced with Green Futures Solutions at the University of Exeter for Earthshot Prize judging, asks whether a solution's economics improve as it spreads, and it attaches a 2030 target to each area.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives72
- Confidence45