Strategy and Strive's 197,000 BTC of 2026 additions exceed the net gain for all businesses
Strategy and Strive added 197,000 BTC in 2026, more than the 193,000 BTC net gain River reports for all businesses. Strive held 32,773 BTC on Oct. 9, so Strategy's share is at least 164,000 BTC, or 83%.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence66
Strive bought 2,822 bitcoin at about $83,266 each, lifting its treasury to 35,595 BTC, 18 more than MARA's 35,577. At $82,000 that margin is worth about $1.5 million, and Strategy still holds roughly 24 times as much.
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives58
- Confidence68
Strategy spent $176.3 million repurchasing STRC preferred stock in the week to Oct 4, against $28.7 million for 334 bitcoin. The shares cost about $99.60 each, and retiring them cuts roughly $21 million a year of 12% dividends.
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives55
- Confidence68
The company put $75.7 million into 950 coins last week and $174 million into discounted STRC shares, and the two programs are now drawing on cash balances that fell in the same filing.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 0%
- Operator
- Operator 21%
- Investor
- Investor 79%
Reality
- Evidence80
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives55
- Confidence78
Strive's 1,800 coins and Strategy's 4,603 put balance-sheet demand back on the tape, though the pioneer still holds 2,313 fewer bitcoin than it did in June and the newer bid is funded by a preferred paying 13 percent.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 5%
- Operator
- Operator 27%
- Investor
- Investor 68%
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives65
- Confidence70
Anchorage opens a qualified-custody route for bitcoin treasury firms into Sui's Hashi
Anchorage Digital is a day-one partner on Sui's Hashi, which opens in phases later this month with more than $500 million pledged. Treasury firms can post bitcoin held in qualified custody as collateral, though the cash they raise depends on stablecoin lenders on Sui.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives75
- Confidence45
STRC's trading depth depends on a $100 price that Strategy's buybacks helped support
Strategy's own buybacks made up over 20% of weekly STRC trading in most of September, Keyrock found. For holders the larger exposure is the price, since Keyrock found STRC four to eight times less liquid once it drifts more than 1% from its $100 par.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives65
- Confidence55
MARA Holdings moved 996 bitcoin worth about $81m to Galaxy Digital on October 9, a transfer the analytics firm Lookonchain flagged as a possible sale. The on-chain data cannot confirm a sale, and MARA's filings already show its treasury fell to 35,577 bitcoin from 49,951 a year earlier.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives55
- Confidence55
Robinhood has added $25 million of bitcoin to its balance sheet, crypto chief Johann Kerbrat said, a stake worth about 0.025% of its market value. The company's larger tie to the asset runs through trading, where August crypto volume reached $17.5 billion.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 25%
- Operator
- Operator 22%
- Investor
- Investor 53%
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence65
Strategy needs bitcoin at $85,750 on Dec. 31 to finish 2026 in profit after a $20.91 billion quarter
Strategy's $20.91 billion third-quarter bitcoin gain still leaves it about $1.87 billion down on digital assets for 2026, its SEC filings show. With the coin near $85,300, whether the year ends in profit depends on a Dec. 31 close roughly $450 higher.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives65
- Confidence55
Riot Platforms repaid its $200 million Coinbase Credit loan early, freeing 5,821 bitcoin, about 51% of its holdings, from collateral. Skipping seven months of 6.15% interest saves about $7 million and leaves its bitcoin unpledged while it expands data centers for AI tenants.
Reality
- Evidence74
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence72
Strategy's common shareholders are paying to lift STRC back toward par
Strategy sold $246.2 million of new common stock last week and put $103.5 million of it into buying back STRC preferred below its $100 par. Those same common holders decide on October 28 whether the four preferreds move to daily dividends.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
Strategy spent $151.7 million retiring STRC preferred in the week to September 27, more than the $142.7 million it paid for 1,665 bitcoin. MSTR stock sales paid for most of both, so common shareholders are now paying to shrink the company's preferred stock.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 5%
- Operator
- Operator 28%
- Investor
- Investor 67%
Reality
- Evidence80
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives60
- Confidence78
A ten-week gap in purchases produced a $1.59bn dollar reserve, and the roughly 3,588 coins sold in July to meet dividend obligations show where cash has to come from when the asset on the balance sheet pays none.
Perspective Coverage
6 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 6%
- Operator
- Operator 22%
- Investor
- Investor 72%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption50
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives55
- Confidence60
Strategy's second straight week of buying its own preferreds cost $139.3 million and captured roughly $2.74 million of discount to the $100 stated value. The cash pool that funded it held $1.30 billion on September 13.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 3%
- Operator
- Operator 17%
- Investor
- Investor 80%
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives55
- Confidence70
Strive paid for last week's 469 bitcoin entirely with preferred stock. The coupon on its $1.04 billion of SATA is 13%, charged every business day, against a treasury of 25,000 coins. Warrants struck at $27 expire in mid-October.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 7%
- Operator
- Operator 22%
- Investor
- Investor 71%
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives65
- Confidence70
A 125% rally values DMG's planned AI capacity at $460,000 per uncontracted megawatt
A Seeking Alpha analyst puts $23 million of AI premium inside DMG Blockchain's 1.4 times book valuation while the company shrinks its mining fleet and sells treasury Bitcoin to pay for Christina Lake.
Reality
- Evidence25
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives45
- Confidence35
Bernstein's $300K Bitcoin call is really a bet that mining gets 2.7 times dearer
The bank sees $125,000 reclaimed by late 2026 and a 2029 peak near $300,000. Its own multiple compresses along the way, which puts the weight on miner costs, and it cut Strategy's target to $350.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption42
- Hype gap+38
- Incentives72
- Confidence52