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Topic

Critical Minerals

Raw materials such as lithium, cobalt, rare earths, and copper that are essential for electronics, batteries, and defense technology.

Current stories

productOne report1 publisher

Giraffe Bio raises $6.4 million for flotation chemicals it says lift copper recovery by up to 5%

Giraffe Bio raised a $6.4 million seed round led by Orion Industrial Ventures for chemicals it says recover up to 5% more copper. The chemicals act in flotation, and TechCrunch reports most would settle for 1% to 2%.

Publishers:techcrunch.com

Reality

Evidence30
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives55
Confidence45
investOne report1 publisher

Korea lifts its non-Middle East crude freight rebate to 100% through December

Seoul's first statutory resource security plan promises a 50% Middle East crude share by 2035 and 13 more state-managed minerals, but the only money on the table this year is a freight subsidy capped at the levies refiners paid.

Publishers:en.sedaily.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives40
Confidence55
scienceOne report1 publisher

Mine My Phone plots the extraction sites behind 10 metals in a handset

An open-access hub built by the refurbishment company Back Market with nine outside experts links cobalt, lithium and eight other metals to the places they are dug out of, alongside a six-country survey of what buyers know.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption10
Hype gap+22
Incentives80
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Ninepoint charges 65 basis points for an actively managed bet on US-Canada energy integration

ENRG began trading on NYSE Arca on September 22 holding 25 to 50 names. The rising data-center electricity demand behind the pitch reaches that book through uranium, copper and pipeline tolls. Two-thirds of its oil and gas producers are American.

Reality

Evidence57
Adoption22
Hype gap+18
Incentives72
Confidence42
investOne report1 publisher

The AI goods basket outgrew its own semiconductors by 17 points last quarter

The WTO puts AI-enabling goods up 42% year over year at 18.7% of world merchandise trade. Semiconductors in the same quarter grew 25%, so the faster growth sits in processors and data transmission equipment.

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption72
Hype gap+35
Incentives55
Confidence38
investOne report1 publisher

OMB's top lawyer justified the Pentagon's $400m MP Materials stake as emergency spending

Mark Paoletta's June 2025 opinion, reviewed by Semafor, called the deal necessary to avoid an imminent threat to human life and government property. The Pentagon has since taken equity or warrants in at least 10 companies.

Publishers:semafor.com

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption72
Hype gap+12
Incentives76
Confidence62
investOne report1 publisher

China's magnet shipments to Japan ran 44 tonnes short of last August

Chinese customs figures for August show every rare-earth and critical-mineral line tracked into Japan below year-earlier volume for a second month, with the declines running from 11.2 per cent to 94.7 per cent.

Publishers:scmp.com

Reality

Evidence57
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+16
Incentives52
Confidence56
investConfirmed3 publishers

Carney works a $120 trillion room in Toronto for deals Ottawa expects in 12 to 18 months

About 300 investment executives managing more than $120 trillion came to a Toronto hotel to hear Canada's pitch on minerals, energy and trade access. Ottawa's new offer this week was faster tax rulings for investments above $1 billion.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 28%
Operator
Operator 27%
Investor
Investor 45%

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption33
Hype gap+27
Incentives72
Confidence60
investOne report1 publisher

Korea's Uzbek rail MOU covers eight train sets, pending a feasibility study

Thirteen documents came out of Shavkat Mirziyoyev's state visit to Seoul. The Blue House ties any widening of project cooperation to feasibility studies still to come. The Export-Import Bank of Korea has promised to explore financing.

Publishers:en.sedaily.com

Reality

Evidence46
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives70
Confidence52
scienceOne report1 publisher

Geologic modelling puts 2,000 to 5,000 tonnes of uranium in DRC's cobalt exports since 2000

A study of Copperbelt geology and plant throughput estimates that 25 years of cobalt hydroxide shipments carried natural uranium, less than a tenth of it declared to the IAEA. The DRC is now testing outgoing loads.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption28
Hype gap+30
Incentives68
Confidence38
productOne report1 publisher

A 17-column plant in Jiangxi turns lithium leftovers into 500 tonnes a year of rubidium and cesium

The demonstration line recovers 98 percent of the cesium and 95 percent of the rubidium from residue that lithium refiners used to discard, which ties two specialty metals to somebody else's lithium throughput rather than to their own demand.

Reality

Evidence32
Adoption34
Hype gap+24
Incentives72
Confidence42
scienceOne report1 publisher

Houston and EMSL fold reaction chemistry into a neural network to forecast rock parameters

The framework is built so that a predicted mineral concentration cannot come out negative, and its real target is parameters no experiment supplies, which is also why the account leaves its accuracy unpriced.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption10
Hype gap+30
Incentives62
Confidence45
leadershipOne report1 publisher

A cotton tote needs 173 uses before it beats the bag it replaced

Works in Progress argues that landfill beats the recycling bin for much of what we discard. The evidence it supplies is mostly reuse breakeven arithmetic, and that is the half a procurement team can check.

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption20
Hype gap+32
Incentives55
Confidence38
productOne report1 publisher

Defense is not big enough to replace the EV market, but it is big enough to move the roadmap

The DOE's new $500 million goes mostly to feedstock, not weapons. And the gap between Pentagon battery buying and automotive battery capex is roughly 90 to 1.

Publishers:techcrunch.com

Reality

Evidence54
Adoption38
Hype gap+22
Incentives66
Confidence47
buildOne report1 publisher

Draft State Department letter would make AI coalition membership an either/or for 35 countries

Reuters reports a draft telling AI Opportunity Statement signatories that Pax Silica is incompatible with rival initiatives. Kazakhstan, in both, is the test case.

Publishers:mezha.net

Reality

Evidence32
Adoption41
Hype gap+26
Incentives63
Confidence36