Skip to content

Topic

Extreme weather

Storms, floods, heat waves, droughts and wildfires, together with the datasets and agencies that track their human impact.

Current stories

scienceOne report1 publisher

Wind shear eased off the Gulf Coast long enough for Isaias to form in a quiet Atlantic season

Hurricane Isaias killed at least four people after landfall on the U.S. Gulf Coast as a Category 2 storm with 105 mph winds, Scientific American reported. Two meteorologists quoted there say a quiet season narrows where storms can form without softening the one that does.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+8
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

Central Pacific's Niño 3.4 region passes 30C for the first time as El Niño strengthens

Sea surface temperatures in the Pacific's Niño 3.4 region passed 30 degrees Celsius for the first time, preliminary data released Oct. 5 show. On the anomaly measures that remove global ocean warming, the event is already close to the strongest El Niño on record, Timothy Osborn of the University of East Anglia told Live Science.

Publishers:livescience.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

NOAA gives 75% odds that this El Nino outranks every event back to 1950

The eastern Pacific is running 2.1 C above average on weekly NOAA data, past the 2 C mark for a super event. The official strength category comes from three-month averages, and the regional outlook comes with a caveat attached.

Publishers:livescience.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption35
Hype gap+30
Incentives40
Confidence55
scienceOne report1 publisher

Climate hazards interrupted schooling for 171 million students in UNICEF's 2025 count

UNICEF's snapshot covers one year in 106 countries and counts students reached by a hazard, a smaller measurement than school days lost. The one-in-ten framing implies a base near 1.7 billion students.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives80
Confidence55