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Topic

Political Advertising

Paid broadcast, cable and digital messaging bought by political campaigns and outside groups to persuade voters, tracked by ad-spending monitors.

Current stories

leadershipOne report1 publisher

Broadcast and cable TV still take over 60% of the estimated $11.6 billion in 2026 political spending

More than 60% of the estimated $11.6 billion in 2026 political spending will go to broadcast and cable TV, Business Insider reported. Strategist Rob Flaherty says operatives copy one another and consultants earn more as the TV share rises.

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption80
Hype gap−5
Incentives65
Confidence50
investConfirmed2 publishers

Late ad buys shrink what Republicans' $1 billion edge over Democrats' $579 million can buy

Republicans hold $1 billion to Democrats' $579 million, but Trump-aligned groups booking in September sometimes pay over five times earlier rates. At those prices the cash lead buys less airtime than its size suggests, though the record cannot say how much less nationally.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 6%
Operator
Operator 59%
Investor
Investor 35%

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives45
Confidence60
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Candidates in data-center states attack AI over power bills and tax breaks

Business Insider reviewed 130 US political TV ads and found candidates of every party attacking AI mostly over electricity costs, water use and tax breaks. Companies that need local approval to build now hear that cost case from challengers in both parties.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives35
Confidence55
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Democrats concentrate roughly $6.1 million of abortion advertising in one Maine Senate race

Abortion runs in fewer than 5 percent of Democratic Senate ads nationally and about 15 percent of the $40.8 million spent in Maine, where Planned Parenthood Votes has placed its largest buy of 2026 against Susan Collins.

Publishers:vox.com

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+12
Incentives58
Confidence55
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Equis traces the 27-point drop in Trump's Latino approval to wages and prices

Approval among Latinos who voted for Trump in 2024 has gone from 93 percent to 66 percent, and the researcher reporting it says the reason is that Latinos carry more of the wage workforce than any other group.

Publishers:vox.com

Reality

Evidence36
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+26
Incentives62
Confidence54
investOne report1 publisher

Democrats hold roughly 2-to-1 Texas advertising edge after MAGA Inc's $10 million boost to Paxton

More than $3.4 billion is chasing a chamber that decides who staffs the administration and who fills open court seats for the rest of the term, and the spending so far shows the two sides pricing the same seats very differently.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence57
Adoption68
Hype gap+18
Incentives68
Confidence55