New radiocarbon dates place a Waihemo diet shift away from moa by about 1410
Researchers using high-precision radiocarbon dating at two sites say Waihemo's diet had shifted away from moa and seals by about 1410. They report that some economic change in early Māori society began earlier than previously thought.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
Oxygen isotopes in one Queensland snail shell line up with cyclones Marcia and Debbie
Researchers matched oxygen isotopes in one Biggenden banded snail's shell to ex-tropical-cyclone rain across about 4.5 years of its life. It is one shell from a limestone-free park, so use at other sites is a projection.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence40
Carbon-14 on the wall's timbers returns 200 to 10 B.C.E., a window wide enough to hold the 52 B.C.E. burning Caesar described and much else besides, and the officials quoted say function and chronology still need verifying.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 45%
- Operator
- Operator 38%
- Investor
- Investor 17%
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives40
- Confidence58
Dated livestock bones tie Madagascar's megafauna losses to herds that spread 1,200 years ago
Oregon State and Columbia researchers found livestock spread across Madagascar about 1,200 years ago, as its large native herbivores declined. People may have arrived millennia earlier, so the timing argues against hunting alone as the cause of the extinctions.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
A German-Serbian resurvey more than triples the population estimate for the Vinca site at Opovo
Surface collection, geophysics and coring at Opovo Ugar-Bajbuk between 2022 and 2024 put the late Neolithic settlement above 9 hectares with up to 220 houses and more than 700 people at its peak. The house sizes vary too little to mark out a wealthy few.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives55
- Confidence56
Researchers identify the first skeleton showing China's judicial nose amputation
A woman buried face down in a Henan cemetery had her nasal bones cut back to half the bridge and lived, and the team that found her among 300 burials argues the grave itself points to punishment.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives38
- Confidence55
A Tartu-led study dates 75 plague genomes by their place on the family tree
Radiocarbon can leave a medieval burial floating inside a century. A University of Tartu team used each plague genome's position on the evolutionary tree to tighten that window, and says many samples now line up with recorded outbreaks.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives68
- Confidence52
Ancient plague DNA from 11 sites argues for repeated reinfection of Estonia after the Black Death
A University of Tartu team sequenced Yersinia pestis from archaeological remains and built a way to narrow radiocarbon dates using a genome's place on the family tree, then matched samples to outbreaks chroniclers recorded.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives55
- Confidence56
Radiocarbon puts a defensive earthwork at Oued Beht in the second millennium BC
The 2023 excavation of a ridge in northwestern Morocco dated a multiphase ditch, rampart and wall to about 4,000 to 3,500 years ago, the earliest confirmed defensive construction in North Africa outside Egypt.
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives68
- Confidence55
Ancient DNA traces plague through hunter-gatherer families at Lake Baikal 5,500 years ago
An international team sequenced Yersinia pestis from teeth at four Siberian cemeteries and found it in 18 of 46 people, among them siblings and parents who appear to have died in the same outbreak. The work is published in Nature.
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives62
- Confidence58
Feldspar grains date South Dakota's Mammoth Site to at least 160,000 years
The bones were collagen-free, so the site's age came from radiocarbon on bone apatite. Two labs dating the sand around the bones instead returned 160,000 to 232,000 years, and groundwater chemistry is the suspect.
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives40
- Confidence60
Brigid Lynch took it for an oddly shaped rock in a San Mateo County creek bed. Midpen has since donated the tooth to Stanford, where a radiocarbon date will test a preliminary estimate of about 10,000 years.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives55
- Confidence65
An axe's shape dates a nearly missed Polish grave 3,300 years before the cemetery around it
Archaeologists closing a dig near Żórawina noticed a four-metre circle in the soil and found 42 drilled teeth above a man's skeleton. The 2900 B.C.E. estimate rests on the shape of his battle axe until radiocarbon comes back.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives55
- Confidence60