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Sustainable Aviation Fuel

Drop-in jet fuel made from waste oils, biomass or captured CO2 that cuts aviation's lifecycle emissions and blends with conventional kerosene.

Current stories

productOne report1 publisher

CAS cobalt-manganese catalyst converts 83% of carbon monoxide from wood syngas in testing

Chinese Academy of Sciences researchers report a cobalt-manganese catalyst that converted nearly 83% of carbon monoxide from wood-based syngas in testing. So far the case for cheaper fuel rests on one producer's profit projection, and no price has been published for the airlines that would buy the fuel.

Reality

Evidence35
Adoption10
Hype gap+45
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence40
investConfirmed2 publishers

Petrobras tests Cardano to keep jet fuel emissions benefits from being claimed twice

Petrobras is testing the Cardano blockchain in two research projects that track emissions claims on sustainable jet fuel and renewable diesel. With no fuel volumes or timeline attached, the test cannot yet be sized against Shell's Avelia registry, credited with more than 84 million gallons since 2022.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption12
Hype gap+25
Incentives70
Confidence60
scienceOne report1 publisher

A plasma upstream of a copper electrode turns CO2 into methanol and butane

A Yale group reports in Nature Catalysis that exciting CO2 in a plasma before it reaches a copper electrode yields methanol and butane, products the team says electrocatalysis alone does not make. The cell runs at room temperature.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives65
Confidence45
scienceOne report1 publisher

Approved airport expansions already push UK aviation past its 2038-42 carbon budget share

Tyndall Centre modelling for Friends of the Earth puts the overshoot at 21 to 50 percent before Heathrow enters the sum, and the width of that range shows how much of the expansion case rides on plants nobody has built.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence54
Adoption22
Hype gap+20
Incentives80
Confidence46
productOne report1 publisher

Niutech's first refinery contract writes unsorted plastic into a jet fuel feedstock spec

Interesting Engineering reports the buyer unnamed and the conversion yield undisclosed, which leaves whoever holds the contaminated bales with a genuinely new intake spec to sell into and no way yet to price it.

Reality

Evidence27
Adoption24
Hype gap+44
Incentives79
Confidence33