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US inflation and interest rates

US consumer price data, Federal Reserve policy expectations and their effect on Treasury yields.

Current stories

investOne report1 publisher

CoreWeave's 2031 bond yields 15.78% in a week that cost 20 AI and chip stocks over $1 trillion

More than $1 trillion left 20 of the largest AI and chip stocks this week, CNBC reported, while CoreWeave's 2031 bond yield reached 15.78%. TSMC guided to 58% higher fourth-quarter revenue in the same week, so we think financing terms and rates are the likelier targets of the sell-off.

Publishers:cnbc.com

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap−10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

BlackRock's AI chip ratings project could take about a year, as HSBC's Roberts says lenders want higher payoffs on AI projects

Seoul's Kospi closed down 7.57% after a circuit breaker, as chipmakers sold off on U.S. inflation data. BlackRock's Fink says halting data centers means recession. HSBC's Roberts says lenders want higher returns first.

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives65
Confidence55
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Chip stocks slide further as US inflation raises the risk of rate hikes

South Korea's KOSPI fell more than 8% as the chip sell-off deepened on US inflation fears that raised the risk of rate hikes. CNBC ties Dell's 11% drop on Wall Street to doubts about enterprise AI returns.

Publishers:theguardian.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap
Not scored
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Large bitcoin holders are buying faster than at any time since February

Bitcoin whales raised holdings to 3.03 million BTC while US spot ETFs lost $744.3 million over six sessions. The whale reading is a 30-day growth rate, so Wednesday's CPI print will test a comparison across unequal windows.

Publishers:cryptoslate.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Bitcoin sits 2.4% above $82,000 support after its biggest ETF outflow week since June

Bitcoin traded near $84,050 on Monday after U.S. spot ETFs shed $681 million last week, the largest weekly outflow since June. That leaves it about 2.4% above the $82,000 support analysts name, with the Oct. 14 U.S. inflation data due next.

Publishers:coindesk.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+8
Incentives35
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Asian shares wait on US bank earnings with Brent $6.47 below its recent peak

Asian shares opened cautiously on Monday, with Brent down 1.1% at $103.50 a barrel, ahead of major US bank earnings on Tuesday. US inflation data due this week may weigh on tech valuations as much as the results do.

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence60