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Wildfire

Uncontrolled vegetation fires, including their behaviour, their management and how their regimes respond to climate and fuels.

Current stories

scienceOne report1 publisher

Satellite counts tie the 2020 lockdowns to 12.3% fewer fires worldwide

Global fire incidents fell 12.3% in the first half of 2020 as lockdowns kept people home, a study in Cell Reports Sustainability finds. Its authors take the countries that burned more as evidence that people put fires out as well as start them.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

SFU model prices climate-driven Canadian wildfires at $2.1 trillion under 3 to 4 degrees of warming

Simon Fraser University researchers put the climate-driven cost of Canadian wildfires at more than $2.1 trillion this century under 3 to 4 degrees of warming. Holding warming to 2 degrees would keep costs near those of recent decades, lead author Sian Kou-Giesbrecht said.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence40
scienceConfirmed3 publishers

Thousand-year lake core ties southeast Australia's thicker forests to the end of Indigenous burning

Michael-Shawn Fletcher's team found tree cover around a southeast Australian lake rose from about 10 to 40 per cent after colonisation ended Indigenous burning. That puts forest fuel among the fire risks people can manage, though one lake cannot prove that restored burning would reverse the change.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 38%
Operator
Operator 50%
Investor
Investor 12%

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives40
Confidence62
scienceOne report1 publisher

Invasive cogongrass lets Florida fires run faster and reach the canopy in early spring

University of Florida researchers report that cogongrass, now in almost every Florida county, makes fires spread faster with longer flames. The effect peaks in late winter and early spring, so controlling the grass now belongs in wildfire planning for burn crews and homeowners.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
scienceOne report1 publisher

Charcoal in a West Antarctic seafloor core records Earth's southernmost known wildfires

Scientists report charcoal from 90-million-year-old fires in a seafloor core drilled about 900 km from the South Pole, the southernmost wildfires on record. Fire grew more common as rainforest gave way to moss bog, but the case that fire drove the change rests on timing in one core.

Publishers:eos.org

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+8
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
scienceOne report1 publisher

Extreme fire weather weakens the firebreak that Alaska's young forests provide

Recently burned Alaskan forest reburns 1 to 3 orders of magnitude less often than older forest, Gaglioti and colleagues find in 1984-2020 fire data. Extreme fire weather weakens that barrier most in young stands, so a scar's value as a firebreak depends on its age and the weather.

Publishers:eos.org phys.org

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+5
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50