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Bloomberg Intelligence

Bloomberg's in-house research arm providing financial analysis, market data, and industry forecasts across equities, credit, and sectors worldwide.

Current stories

investOne report1 publisher

Short sellers may sit behind the utilities ETF inflow that made September look defensive

Defensive sector funds took in $1.8 billion in September while sector ETFs as a whole lost $112 million, The Daily Upside reported. State Street's Matt Bartolini says flows into one utilities fund hint at shares created for short sellers to borrow.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
investConfirmed2 publishers

Chip-export dollars push the won price of 100 yen to its lowest since 2008

Koreans buying yen are paying the least in about 18 years, as 100 yen fell into the mid-800s of won this week from about 950 in early summer. Most of the drop is the won's chip-export rally against the dollar, Korea Times figures show, so the saving depends on that boom lasting.

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence64
investOne report1 publisher

Rolls-Royce books all 100 of its $3.5 million Nightingale roadsters before a public showing

Rolls-Royce says all 100 Project Nightingale roadsters, priced from about $3.5 million, were reserved before the car was shown publicly. It is betting buyers will pay more per car as Bloomberg Intelligence warns ultra-luxury sales could stagnate through 2030.

Publishers:en.sedaily.com

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption55
Hype gap+15
Incentives70
Confidence45
investOne report1 publisher

China's biggest tech stocks would have to more than double their multiple to match the Magnificent Seven

Bloomberg Intelligence puts the China Tech 8 index at more than a 50% discount to the Magnificent Seven, the widest gap this year. Closing it from China's side means more than doubling the index's multiple, and BI ties that to AI revenue showing up in reported results.

Reality

Evidence32
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence40
buildOne report1 publisher

DeepSeek reroutes every V4-Pro API request to V4.1-Flash from 14 September

Flash's off-peak input price is under a quarter of what V4-Pro cost, and on DeepSeek's own table it beats the old Pro checkpoint on Terminal-Bench, but it scores 36.8 on Humanity's Last Exam and no V4.1-Pro has a date.

Publishers:dev.to

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption52
Hype gap+30
Incentives72
Confidence40
investOne report1 publisher

HIAI charges 87 basis points to enter a category where eight of 21 funds have folded

Ai Funds' new ETF hands stock selection to a proprietary model for 0.87% a year, against a 0.74% average for active ETFs, and it joins a category where all seven surviving funds have had outflows.

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption20
Hype gap+30
Incentives65
Confidence60
productOne report1 publisher

Banks passed on SoftBank's seven-year AI paper, so households are buying 1tn yen of it

The record retail sale prices at 4.3% to 4.9% on a credit S&P calls BB+, and even at full size it leaves more than $20bn of the OpenAI pledge unfunded.

Publishers:thenextweb.com

Reality

Evidence52
Adoption38
Hype gap+12
Incentives58
Confidence50
investOne report1 publisher

Treasury doubled its long-bond buybacks because the long end no longer sells itself

Gilts at 5.81% and 30-year JGBs above 4% put the US long bond inside a range of sovereign alternatives rather than above it. The 10-year was back at 4.74% by Friday.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+12
Incentives46
Confidence55
buildOne report1 publisher

SMIC's first $3 billion quarter comes with a wafer price increase attached

Export controls walled off China's AI demand from TSMC and Samsung. SMIC, the only domestic route to 7nm-class logic, is now repricing the captive pool it inherited.

Publishers:tomshardware.com

Reality

Evidence66
Adoption80
Hype gap+8
Incentives62
Confidence63
investOne report1 publisher

Korea's new time deposits are 90% corporate money, and borrowers will pay for it

Bloomberg Intelligence says nine tenths of last month's net time-deposit inflow at the five major banks came from companies. Chipmakers locking in fixed rates make bank funding dearer for everyone else.

Publishers:en.sedaily.com

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption57
Hype gap+22
Incentives38
Confidence41
productOne report1 publisher

Xiaomi's revenue per phone rose about 25 percent. Its handset margin still fell a quarter.

The third straight profit decline came with smartphone gross margin at 8.5 percent, down from 11.5 percent, as memory suppliers shift capacity to AI. The cost is already reaching buyers.

Publishers:thenextweb.com

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption66
Hype gap+8
Incentives62
Confidence55