Kazakhstan's July decree lets oil producers supply flared-gas power to crypto miners, as Crusoe did before assembling 10 gigawatts of AI projects. Crusoe sold those flare operations to NYDIG, so AI demand in Kazakhstan more likely lands on new grid capacity.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
Crusoe confirms Google will occupy its wind-farm data center campus near Amarillo
Crusoe confirmed on September 28 that Google is the end user of its Goodnight campus near Amarillo, a site wired to two 265.5MW wind farms. The deal takes Crusoe's power-first model past Abilene, with the same customer whose request halted a 2.7GW Crusoe build in Wyoming in June.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption50
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives65
- Confidence50
Crusoe's Series F values the Denver data centre builder at $30.9bn and pays for capacity customers have already contracted. One gigawatt is running, and the company now makes its own circuit breakers and industrial controls.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 25%
- Operator
- Operator 34%
- Investor
- Investor 41%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives70
- Confidence60
Crusoe's Series F values a $140 billion backlog at 22 cents on the dollar
Atreides Management, Mubadala Capital and Valor Equity Partners co-led an initial close of $3.9 billion at a $30.9 billion post-money valuation. One of Crusoe's six contracted gigawatts is running today.
Publishers:crusoe.ai
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives88
- Confidence44
The Series F closed at a $30.9bn post-money valuation on one operating gigawatt and $140bn of contracted value spread across six. Turning the other five gigawatts into cash is what the new money bought.
Reality
- Evidence34
- Adoption44
- Hype gap+37
- Incentives84
- Confidence56
Two compute landlords raised $4.5bn between them while cloud security, protein bars, payroll software and robot silicon split under $900m, and the second-biggest cheque came from a trading firm rather than a venture fund.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 14%
- Operator
- Operator 28%
- Investor
- Investor 58%
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption52
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives72
- Confidence61
Huang tucks 400,000 incoming GPUs into three-word "AGI has arrived" post
The capacity line carries no date and no named owner, so it cannot go into anyone's plan. The number an evaluation team can use is the 37.2 points between Astra's score in OpenAI's harness and its score in ARC Prize's.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption44
- Hype gap+58
- Incentives86
- Confidence56