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Research lab

Epoch AI

Epoch AI is a research organization that tracks AI compute, costs, and benchmark trends to analyze and forecast the trajectory of AI progress.

Known aliases

  • Epoch
  • EpochAI
  • Epoch AI Research
  • Епох ЕІ

Current stories

leadershipConfirmed3 publishers

Claude graded the index that credits it with leading 26% of Anthropic's R&D

Anthropic has put a number on how much of its own AI research Claude now runs. The number comes out of a pipeline in which a Claude agent catalogued the tasks and a separate Claude judge scored them.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 27%
Operator
Operator 33%
Investor
Investor 40%

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption60
Hype gap+25
Incentives60
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Thieves who stole PlusAI's Nvidia-branded trailer found 20,000 pounds of test sand

Thieves broke into two PlusAI trailers taken from Fremont, one Nvidia-branded, and found 40,000 pounds of test sand. Overhaul's tally of more than $150 million in AI cargo losses is small next to AI spending, but single thefts run into the millions, and that cost lands on whoever ships each load of chips.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives65
Confidence45
buildOne report1 publisher

Epoch AI finds GPQA-grade answers getting 13 times cheaper every year

Epoch AI puts the price of answering a GPQA Diamond question at a fixed accuracy bar falling about 13 times a year, faster than compute under Moore's Law. Buyers get that discount only by moving to newer models, so the part of a stack that has to switch cheaply is the evaluation that qualifies each one.

Publishers:tomshardware.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+30
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence45
investConfirmed4 publishers

Virginia's data centers buy one permanent job for every $54m invested

The build is now the largest driver of U.S. private investment growth, and 71% of Americans polled want none of it nearby, which makes entitlement risk rather than capital the thing infrastructure investors have to price.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 8%
Operator
Operator 46%
Investor
Investor 46%

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption62
Hype gap+45
Incentives64
Confidence60
buildConfirmed6 publishers

Anthropic's 26% figure grades Claude's R&D tasks by how much human steering they took

The lab says Claude leads 26% of its model research and collaborates on about 90%, with both tiers defined by how closely a human directs each task, and it wants rival labs publishing the same measure.

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 39%
Operator
Operator 33%
Investor
Investor 28%

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption65
Hype gap+30
Incentives70
Confidence60
investConfirmed4 publishers

Anthropic invites its rivals to benchmark against a self-reported 26%

Anthropic says Claude now leads 26% of its model research and development under human supervision, and it wants other labs to publish comparable figures. The labs count different things.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 23%
Operator
Operator 41%
Investor
Investor 36%

Reality

Evidence56
Adoption52
Hype gap+24
Incentives72
Confidence66
productConfirmed3 publishers

Anthropic reports Claude leading 26% of its model R&D on a definition it wrote itself

Anthropic says Claude leads 26 percent of its model research and development and takes part in more than 90 percent of it. The company wants rival labs to publish the same index so the numbers can be compared over time.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 30%
Operator
Operator 42%
Investor
Investor 28%

Reality

Evidence46
Adoption44
Hype gap+24
Incentives74
Confidence62

Earlier coverage

  1. An HPE practice leader wants business leaders to meter AI capacity in dollars per delivered FLOP

    Leadership · September 17, 2026 · One report1 publisher

  2. Databricks reports 60 percent higher coding spend after switching to Astra

    Build · September 17, 2026 · One report1 publisher

  3. OpenAI's AGI-era claim rests on a benchmark score its own harness produced

    Product · September 15, 2026 · One report1 publisher

  4. Nomic's CEO alleges startups resell frontier traces generated on lab credits

    Build · September 14, 2026 · One report1 publisher

  5. Micro1 outbids Google by 25% for Spirit Airlines' decades of records

    Invest · September 14, 2026 · One report1 publisher

  6. Huawei's 750,000 Ascend chips add up to under a twenty-fifth of Nvidia's 2026 compute

    Invest · September 9, 2026 · One report1 publisher

  7. AI text detectors are good enough to deploy. The appeals process is what nobody has written.

    Science · August 25, 2026 · One report1 publisher

  8. Sutton calls synthetic data 'a big mistake': every simulator is a lossy copy of a bigger world

    Product · August 19, 2026 · One report1 publisher

  9. Re-baseline AI procurement on cost per completed task, not dollars per million tokens

    Leadership · August 18, 2026 · One report1 publisher

  10. Your Training Data Now Has Counterparties: The Case For Treating Corpora As Procurement

    Build · August 17, 2026 · One report1 publisher

  11. Microsoft has 2.2m AI chips installed. Its own capacity claims imply up to 6.4m

    Leadership · August 17, 2026 · One report1 publisher

  12. Artificial Analysis moves eval onto your data, and turns model choice into procurement

    Build · August 15, 2026 · One report1 publisher