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Project

Myriad

Prediction market platform developed by Dastan, offering contracts on news, sports and cultural outcomes.

Known aliases

  • Myriad Markets
  • Myriad Predictions
  • Myriad predictors

Current stories

investOne report1 publisher

Ethereum fell 5.5% against Bitcoin's 3.1% in 24 hours as high-beta altcoins were hit harder

Ethereum fell 5.5% and XRP 5.1% in 24 hours against Bitcoin's 3.1% after September CPI rose 3.7%, Decrypt reported. Two analysts it quotes split on the cause: one points to the dollar and rate-hike odds, the other to profit-taking after a strong run.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives35
Confidence60
investConfirmed4 publishers

Bitcoin's rebound stalls at $83,000, the average price its ETF holders paid

Bitcoin climbed back to about $83,000 on Friday even as spot bitcoin ETFs shed more than $700 million this week. Bitwise Europe's Luke Deans told Decrypt that level is also the funds' average cost basis, so a typical holder can sell there near breakeven.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 18%
Investor
Investor 77%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives40
Confidence65
investConfirmed9 publishers

Prediction markets get a seat at the crypto table, not the gambling one

Kalshi and its investor Paradigm sat with Coinbase, Ripple and Chainlink at the White House, one day before the CFTC's new advisory committee met. The seating chart is the substance.

Perspective Coverage

9 publishers
Builder
Builder 19%
Operator
Operator 38%
Investor
Investor 43%

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives65
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Bitcoin falls to its $83,000 average ETF cost basis on the worst fund outflows since June

US spot bitcoin ETFs shed $484.9 million on Wednesday, their worst day since June 25, as bitcoin fell to the roughly $83,000 average ETF cost basis. Inflows have historically been slow at breakeven, Bitfinex says, so October's strong seasonal record is a weak guide to positioning.

Publishers:decrypt.co

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption35
Hype gap+10
Incentives55
Confidence50
investOne report1 publisher

Ether's three prediction-market prices diverge mostly because each asks a different question

Ether fell below $2,600 on Oct. 7 after six straight days of outflows from U.S. spot ether ETFs. Read by their rules, its three prediction markets point to a year-end close to Wednesday's opening price, with wide odds on either side.

Publishers:news.bitcoin.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
investConfirmed5 publishers

Bitcoin traders add $1.1 billion in open interest hours after a $550 million long flush

Bitcoin open interest rose from $54.2 billion to $55.3 billion in six hours after a dip to $83,560 liquidated about $550 million of crypto longs. Traders re-levered at the lows, leaving bitcoin inside a 3.4% band between its $83,850 21-day average and the $86,700 close Rekt Capital wants to see.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 3%
Operator
Operator 9%
Investor
Investor 88%

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+28
Incentives25
Confidence60
investOne report1 publisher

Myriad traders price Bitcoin's $90,000 October at 48% against a 5.29% Treasury yield

Myriad traders give Bitcoin 48% odds of touching $90,000 in October, a 7.4% climb that is half the month's median gain since 2013. Rates explain that discount better than fund flows do, since September's spot-ETF buyers have so far barely sold.

Publishers:decrypt.co

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives70
Confidence50
investConfirmed3 publishers

Bitcoin gains 0.9% after August core PCE comes in at 3.0% against 3.3% expected

Bitcoin rose 0.9% to $84,376 after August core PCE came in at 3.0%, below the 3.3% economists expected. Lower odds of an October Fed hike did little for a market whose September rally ran on ETF inflows that have since faded.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 15%
Investor
Investor 80%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives40
Confidence65
investConfirmed4 publishers

Robinhood buys into OG.com at the $5bn mark Citadel set in July

Robinhood is paying Citadel's July price for an undisclosed minority slice of the venue that will clear volume Robinhood can move at will, which makes OG.com a fourth supplier rather than an owned engine.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 24%
Operator
Operator 32%
Investor
Investor 44%

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption42
Hype gap+34
Incentives78
Confidence68
investOne report1 publisher

ETF buying outruns the oldest bitcoin wallets by roughly ninety to one

Decade-dormant coins are moving at an unusual clip while Warsh talks the Fed hawkish, so the tempting read is old supply against ETF demand. Divide the two flows and one side is ninety-six times the other.

Publishers:decrypt.co

Reality

Evidence38
Adoption55
Hype gap+26
Incentives52
Confidence44