New SEC rule lets one commissioner alone constitute a quorum when all others are disqualified from a matter
Either Paul Atkins or Mark Uyeda can now act alone as the SEC's quorum under a rule effective Oct. 2, but only on matters where the other is disqualified. Decisions on the pending crypto custody and offering proposals therefore sit with a Commission of two people.
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence60
CFTC pairs its optional crypto exchange registration with a 28-day wallet delivery exception
CFTC on Oct. 5 opened a consultation on an optional federal registration for crypto venues offering retail leverage, with 60 days for comments. Chairman Michael Selig also proposed a 28-day wallet-delivery test that would generally exempt those trades from registered-exchange trading rules.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence40
SEC staff said on September 25 that token buybacks on functioning networks and staking receipts that only record ownership do not create investment contracts. Because they are staff views, live networks can plan repurchases around them while a future SEC or a private plaintiff could still contest them.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives50
- Confidence70
Regulation Crypto Assets borrows the JOBS Act structure for digital assets and preempts state registration, including on secondary trades. The preemption is the part that changes deal papering.
Perspective Coverage
7 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 29%
- Operator
- Operator 35%
- Investor
- Investor 36%
Reality
- Evidence78
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence72
The SEC would let a crypto asset leave securities status once its issuer certifies development has ceased
Regulation Crypto Assets, proposed August 18, would exempt raises of up to $75m a year from registration and preempt state law. Its safe harbor asks issuers to certify that the managerial work they promised investors has permanently ceased.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives68
- Confidence58
CfPA's Reg CF ask quadruples a cap that the last increase multiplied by nearly five
Brian Belley of Kingscrowd and the CfPA wants the Reg CF ceiling at $20 million and Reg A Tier 2 at $150 million, and he rests the case on the issuers who showed up after the cap moved from $1.07 million to $5 million.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives78
- Confidence45
Serial $75M token raises are allowed. Each one waits on an SEC staff review
Repeat 12-month raises are permitted, and each buys a fresh offering statement plus years of reports. The SEC's own estimate is roughly 130 offerings a year.
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives62
- Confidence52
The SEC finally wrote the rule: 401 pages, two dollar caps, and one blank threshold
Regulation Crypto Assets gives token issuers offering exemptions they can budget against. The decentralization off-ramp that matters more is still specified in conditionals.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives45
- Confidence40
Two agencies now hold the pen on crypto rules, and Congress is the slower option
The SEC proposed exempt-offering caps, the CFTC threatened to write its own regime, and Trump asked for a Clarity Act he can sign. The US rulebook gets drafted either way.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives70
- Confidence52
Bitcoin's $72,000 Break Was Mostly Forced Covering, Not Fresh Bids
More than $3 billion of short liquidations did the heavy lifting, with a $517 million ETF day alongside it. That fuel is spent, so the next leg has to be bought.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives71
- Confidence45
The SEC's crypto safe harbour turns a whitepaper roadmap into a legal exit condition
Regulation Crypto Assets pairs two offering exemptions with a way out of the investment-contract test. The White House lunch the next day was the political weather, not the rule.
Reality
- Evidence44
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives84
- Confidence46
A trade group's litigation threat, not crypto's critics, stalled the SEC's token fundraising rules
The SEC killed its Regulation Crypto Assets meeting three days after calling it. Sources point to the White House, and to SIFMA weighing a challenge to the agency's authority.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives74
- Confidence44