Missing OpenAI and Anthropic megarounds pull North American venture funding down 35% to $92 billion
Investors put $92 billion into North American startups in the third quarter, 35% less than in the second, Crunchbase data show. Crunchbase ties most of the gap to OpenAI and Anthropic skipping megarounds, so the swing measures two companies' calendars more than investor appetite.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
buildConfirmed3 publishers SpaceX closed its $60 billion purchase of Cursor on August 15, 2026. The loudest developer reaction was not celebration but a claim that Claude Code and Codex already took the agentic coding lead.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 40%
- Operator
- Operator 23%
- Investor
- Investor 37%
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives65
- Confidence58
Two rounds account for all of Nvidia's $1.3 billion in August lead deals
Crunchbase put the chipmaker among August's highest-spending lead investors on $1.3 billion of led rounds, a total built from Poolside's $1 billion and Volta's $300 million, and Andreessen Horowitz is credited with that same Volta round.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives62
- Confidence48
$3.3bn of disclosed cash minted $26bn of new unicorn value in August
Crunchbase counted 29 additions to its unicorn board in August, worth about $63bn, and across the nine AI, software and semiconductor entrants with disclosed terms, every dollar of new cash set roughly eight dollars of paper.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives66
- Confidence45
The final run on an open-weight base cost about 1.1% of the two-year program. The expensive part was the corpus and the expert hours, and the live product decision is which task goes to which model.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives74
- Confidence62
Coatue's round values the company at roughly 27 times a self-reported $7 billion run rate, about what December's round paid. What changed is that the acceleration has stopped.
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption82
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives62
- Confidence70