Dana Korneisel's Nature study applied sturgeon backbone stiffness to fossil tetrapods and found their necks allowed little movement. Surrounding tissue would cut that further, so the neck-mobility explanation for the body-plan change loses ground.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence74
Emulated trial in 64,000 Swedish adults credits strict Nordic eating with 4% lower 24-year mortality
Danish researchers modelled 64,000-plus Swedish adults and estimate a strict healthy Nordic diet lowers 24-year mortality 4% versus official Nordic advice. That figure assumes people stay strictly on the diet for decades, so real eaters would likely see less.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence45
Explaining the older-sister effect on male sexual orientation would need 37 to 58% of eggs miscarried
Michel Raymond's team modelled whether unrecorded losses of male embryos could produce the pattern seen in eight populations, and the share of fertilised eggs the model demands sits well above the rate clinics record.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives58
- Confidence48
Twelve of the thirteen pigments in the Domitian portrait were available to Leonardo and Titian. The thirteenth is Prussian blue, first produced in the early 1700s, and it sits in the laurel wreath and in a jewel on the sword hilt.
Reality
- Evidence74
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives58
- Confidence70
Two posthole rows at Old Uppsala anchor one researcher's eight-year sacrifice calendar
Goran Henriksson says the Great Midwinter Sacrifice began on the full moon falling between Jan. 28 and Feb. 26. The evidence is two excavated rows of posts and a shoreline 19.5 meters higher than today, set out in a paper he presented at a 2014 conference.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives55
- Confidence58
Motion capture pins the Visby square skull holes on a spiked club, and on teamwork
A conference paper argues medieval combat at Visby was coordinated group work. The more useful result is the rig: cow bone, ballistic gelatine and a reenactor in a 4D motion-capture suit.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives60
- Confidence62
Domino's turns dinner-table disagreement into a product spec
Over a quarter of Americans eat most of their meals alone, and 52% now say they would rather order their own dish. That shift is why the personalization Domino's, Wonder and DoorDash are building reprices portioning and the cost to serve a party.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives45
- Confidence45
A dropped 'null' turned an NHS test result into the opposite diagnosis
Healthwatch England says the 27 AI scribes now writing notes across the NHS in England are muddling drug names and diagnoses, and with no device classification from the MHRA, the last check is the patient.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption62
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives72
- Confidence54
Healthwatch finds patients catching the AI scribe errors their clinicians missed
The scribe errors Healthwatch documented reached patients' records before anyone queried them. In two of the cases, it was the patient who did the querying. England has 27 products in use and no device classification.
Reality
- Evidence46
- Adoption66
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives66
- Confidence45
Webb splits Hephaistos's two newest Dyson sphere candidates into M dwarfs and background galaxies
The Uppsala-led search picked its two strongest leads out of a million stars, then spent Webb time showing the infrared excess belonged to galaxies sitting behind them. Self-inflicted nulls are what a working method produces.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption22
- Hype gap−12
- Incentives45
- Confidence66