Skip to content

We Must Pace the Frontier

Essay by Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei arguing frontier AI developers should deliberately slow capability gains, outlining a three-step pacing plan.

Current stories

productOne report1 publisher

Amodei's Three-Step Plan to Pace AI Faces Deep Verification Challenges

Anthropic pledged employee-level access for outside evaluators and OpenAI matched within hours. The two steps that ask labs to build less depend on rivals and governments agreeing a pace, and on taking each other's word for it.

Publishers:siliconangle.com

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption30
Hype gap+15
Incentives70
Confidence45
buildConfirmed7 publishers

Amodei's pacing plan caps the slowdown at the size of America's lead

Neither Washington nor Beijing endorsed the proposal behind this month's frontier-lab consensus, which asks for evaluators inside labs, coordinated capability thresholds and international deals and ties how much anyone slows to how far ahead the US already is.

Perspective Coverage

7 publishers
Builder
Builder 33%
Operator
Operator 35%
Investor
Investor 32%

Reality

Evidence78
Adoption22
Hype gap+34
Incentives82
Confidence74
productOne report1 publisher

Bessent tells the House committee that AI creators should be liable for what they generate

Dario Amodei's pacing essay went to Washington as a coordination problem. Over the following three days, four current and former federal officials answered it in public, and their subject was liability.

Publishers:gizmodo.com

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives72
Confidence44
productOne report1 publisher

Anthropic and OpenAI shipped three frontier models in the month before Amodei's pacing call

Dario Amodei's essay has endorsements from Sam Altman and Demis Hassabis. No lab has named a model that will arrive later, and none has said how much later, so your release-date assumptions hold until one does.

Publishers:techradar.com

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption12
Hype gap+55
Incentives70
Confidence45
securityOne report1 publisher

Chainguard opens Athena's 40,000-finding backlog on September 28 with fifty silent fixes

Chainguard says fix generation was never its bottleneck and that responsible disclosure at scale is, so its first public batch is built from bugs upstreams quietly fixed years ago and never filed CVEs for.

Publishers:chainguard.dev

Reality

Evidence34
Adoption16
Hype gap+28
Incentives82
Confidence48
investOne report1 publisher

Amodei concedes that a coordinated AI slowdown may need government antitrust cover

Sam Altman endorsed the pacing proposal within a day and Elon Musk backed it too, while David Sacks says labs could slow voluntarily and Anatoly Yakovenko puts the motive at profitability at a $1 trillion market cap.

Publishers:crypto.news

Reality

Evidence52
Adoption20
Hype gap+15
Incentives68
Confidence58
investOne report1 publisher

Amodei's five-to-ten-year cure window now ends in 2036

The Anthropic CEO's September 2026 essay dates the cure of most major disease to roughly 2031 to 2036. He used the same five-to-ten-year width in 2024, when counting from the publication date ended it in 2034.

Reality

Evidence32
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+68
Incentives72
Confidence55