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Lunar Exploration

Crewed and robotic activity at the Moon, including polar sites and future research stations.

Current stories

scienceOne report1 publisher

NASA's SPEARS project replaces battery liquid with a solid electrolyte for the Moon's south pole

NASA's SPEARS project reports prototype cells that operated down to minus 80 C in thermal vacuum tests at Langley. South-pole nights reach minus 200 C, which is 120 degrees colder than that.

Publishers:nasa.gov phys.org

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives55
Confidence50
productConfirmed2 publishers

NASA offers its 800GB Artemis II record two ways, as a browsing page and a researchers' archive

NASA has posted about 800GB of Artemis II mission data, including more than 11,000 photos and videos and 8.5 hours of audio. Anyone can download it, though the raw archive is organized for researchers and a curated science page is the version built for everyone else.

Publishers:theverge.com wired.com

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence66
scienceOne report1 publisher

NASA and the Energy Department place space nuclear work under one agreement from fuel to launch

NASA and the Energy Department signed one memorandum covering space nuclear work from fuel production to launch, ahead of a 2028 reactor flight. It takes effect Nov. 1, and a December 2025 executive order already calls for a launch-ready lunar reactor by 2030.

Publishers:nasa.gov

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+45
Incentives80
Confidence40
scienceOne report1 publisher

Artemis II astronauts' count of farside impact flashes sets NASA's odds for a Moon base strike

Five impact flashes Artemis II astronauts saw on the farside led NASA to estimate a one-in-10,000-per-decade chance of a similar strike on a Moon base. The crew counted them by eye and with handheld cameras on a flight carrying minimal science payloads, and the count gives planners of the south-pole base a background rate to design against.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+30
Incentives50
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

NASA selects three PRISM payloads to scout ice, lava tubes and hazards for Moon Base

NASA selected three PRISM science payloads to fly on commercial CLPS landers and survey lunar ice, a possible lava tube and surface hazards for Moon Base. Their findings are meant to shape where and how crews live at an outpost NASA is already planning.

Publishers:nasa.gov

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+30
Incentives65
Confidence50
scienceConfirmed6 publishers

Starship reaches orbit on its 14th flight, dropping 26 Starlink satellites after losing an engine at liftoff

SpaceX flew Starship to orbit for the first time on September 28, deploying 26 Starlink V3 satellites despite one of the upper stage's six engines going out at liftoff. The flight moves the vehicle closer to the operational heavy-lift launcher NASA and SpaceX are counting on.

Publishers:livescience.com phys.org scientificamerican.com space.com spaceflightnow.com theconversation.com

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 39%
Operator
Operator 36%
Investor
Investor 25%

Reality

Evidence80
Adoption25
Hype gap+20
Incentives65
Confidence75
productConfirmed12 publishers

Starship's first working payload of 26 Starlink V3 satellites reached orbit on a shortened flight

SpaceX's Starship reached orbit for the first time on September 28 and deployed 26 working Starlink V3 satellites, each built to add 1 Tbps of capacity. Buyers can count on that capacity this quarter, while teams hoping to book Starship for their own payloads have one partial orbital flight to judge it by.

Perspective Coverage

12 publishers
Builder
Builder 31%
Operator
Operator 41%
Investor
Investor 28%

Reality

Evidence78
Adoption25
Hype gap+20
Incentives65
Confidence72
scienceOne report1 publisher

Buried volcano beneath the Moon's Dewar swirl points to an ancient field of at least 11.4 microteslas

Anna Mittelholz of ETH Zurich and colleagues say a 60-km volcanic body under the Moon's Dewar swirl cooled in a field of at least 11.4 microteslas. They credit a core dynamo like Earth's, since the site's location makes an impact origin unlikely.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
scienceConfirmed4 publishers

A routine data-quality check turned up the solar system's largest fresh crater 15 months late

The 2024 strike that punched a 222-metre hole in the Moon slipped past every telescope on Earth and in orbit. It was found by comparing orbiter images months afterwards, and NASA now wants to know what its debris could hit.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 33%
Operator
Operator 56%
Investor
Investor 11%

Reality

Evidence78
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives40
Confidence75
scienceOne report1 publisher

A dense magnetized body under the Moon's far side argues for an early core dynamo

A dense, strongly magnetized rock body buried beneath the Moon's far side cooled slowly in a magnetic field strong enough that ETH Zurich researchers attribute it to a dynamo running in the lunar core.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence64
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+8
Incentives55
Confidence60
scienceConfirmed3 publishers

A fresh 222-meter lunar crater gives impact modelers a sample of one

McGetchin is the freshest large crater on the Moon's record. Its value to cratering science is that it is unweathered. The once-per-130-years recurrence figure still comes from a size model.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 48%
Operator
Operator 35%
Investor
Investor 17%

Reality

Evidence74
Adoption32
Hype gap+22
Incentives38
Confidence68
scienceOne report1 publisher

NASA offers its planetary data archive as the template for 71 Artemis Accords signatories

Two virtual sessions six weeks apart, ending Sept. 8, handed signatories NASA's Planetary Data System and its metadata standard as a working model for the lunar data frameworks they build themselves.

Publishers:nasa.gov

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption25
Hype gap+35
Incentives80
Confidence55
productOne report1 publisher

The Moon's contamination problem now lives in the shade, and it has a hardware bill

NASA Goddard modelling says ordinary bacteria and fungi, not only the lab-famous extremophiles, can lie dormant in shaded pockets near the lunar poles. That makes cleanliness a build question.

Publishers:gizmodo.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+22
Incentives45
Confidence52