Skip to content

Science Reports disagree3 publishers 2 min read Published

A fresh 222-meter lunar crater gives impact modelers a sample of one

McGetchin is the freshest large crater on the Moon's record. Its value to cratering science is that it is unweathered. The once-per-130-years recurrence figure still comes from a size model.

The Scientist · Science desk

Send a correction

What happened

  • Two papers published Sept. 16 in Science Advances describe the freshest large impact crater yet found on the Moon, named McGetchin for the late lunar geologist Tom McGetchin.
  • The impact happened in April or May 2024, and a colleague of the camera team found the resulting crater in Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter data in October 2025.
  • The team estimates the impactor was the size of a three-to-six-story building, and it struck where the dark volcanic mare meets the brighter ancient highlands.
  • The orbiter circles the Moon about 12 times a day and images only a small strip per pass. Without a flash to aim at, the hunt for new craters is essentially random.

Why it matters

  • What's now possible capability Excavation and ejecta models can be tested against a crater shape weathering has not touched. No terrestrial impact structure offers that.
  • What it limits constraint Any craters-per-year figure built from orbiter detections is a floor, because repeat coverage of the same ground takes years and new holes turn up by luck.
  • What it sets up precedent Stopar's appeal for amateur footage puts sky-watching archives in play as dating evidence for the next large impact someone finds late.

Next story · Science · 23h ago

More than 10,000 young faults put the moon's shrinkage at about 45 meters

Confirmed3 publishers

On Earth, weathering and degradation strip most of the original detail out of an impact structure; the Moon keeps it [11]. A crater about 2.5 years old keeps all of it, and Julie Stopar said this one is "in really, really good condition" [10]. Divide its 43-meter depth by its 222-meter width [3] and the shape comes out at about 0.19 [14], a ratio that stands as measured, with no erosion or infill correction to apply.

The landing site adds something. The object came down on the boundary between the dark volcanic mare plains and the brighter, hillier highlands, which are ancient crustal material, and the excavated material reflects both units [19]. For scale, the South Pole-Aitken basin is roughly 10,000 times wider [17], about 2,200 kilometers [20]. McGetchin is a small crater by lunar standards; it is the largest new one in the orbiter's 17 years of imaging [8].

The recurrence figure comes from the impactor population. "We know generally that there's more small things in space than there are large things, so that means we tend to get a lot of small craters on the moon and very few large craters," Stopar, deputy principal investigator on the orbiter's camera team, told Live Science [5][7]. Set the 130-year interval against LRO's 17 years of operation and the expected number of craters this size in the mission so far is 0.13 [16]. One detection sits comfortably with that. It does not tighten the estimate, and Live Science did not report an uncertainty on the 130-year figure.

The detection history is worth holding onto for the next one. LRO has taken more than 3 million images since 2009, and the two papers published Sept. 16 in Science Advances draw on a few hundred of them [13][4]. Between the April or May 2024 impact and the October 2025 identification, about 17 months passed [15].

There may also be a recording. Stopar said flashes from smaller impacts have been seen from Earth and that this one may have made one under good conditions [23]. "We don't know if anyone was watching, though," she said, and added that "if somebody out there has videos that they can dig through, they could go back and look for it" [24][25]. Amateur observers have since reported picking out the crater's bright debris ring from Earth [22]. A timestamped flash would replace a two-month formation window [18] with a moment.

What to watch

  • Whether any amateur or observatory video from April or May 2024 contains an impact flash that fixes the formation time.
  • Whether more new craters turn up as the team works further into the orbiter's archive of more than 3 million images.
  • Whether reports of the bright debris ring seen from Earth hold up under larger telescopes.

Clarity's read

What the record supports and how the coverage leans. The claims behind it follow.

Reality

Evidence74
Adoption32
Hype gap+22
Incentives38
Confidence68

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 48%
Operator
Operator 35%
Investor
Investor 17%
Why these scores

Claim ledger

Ranked by verification strength, evidence, and original report placement.

  1. [1]

    Scientists studying a few hundred of the orbiter's photos announced what they are calling a once-in-a-century discovery: the biggest, freshest impact crater ever seen in the solar system, made by a building-size meteorite two years ago.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  2. [2]

    The crater is named McGetchin, after the late geologist and lunar scientist Tom McGetchin.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  3. [3]

    McGetchin crater is about 222 meters (728 feet) wide on average and 43 meters (141 feet) deep.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  4. [4]

    The team described its findings in two papers published Sept. 16 in the journal Science Advances.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  5. [5]

    "We know generally that there's more small things in space than there are large things, so that means we tend to get a lot of small craters on the moon and very few large craters," Julie Stopar told Live Science.

    Reported Supported Source: Julie Stopar, Lunar and Planetary Institute, to Live ScienceView cited source
  6. [6]

    Stopar said: "So something the size of this crater, we only expect to encounter that once every 130 years, approximately."

    Reported Supported Source: Julie Stopar to Live ScienceView cited source
  7. [7]

    Julie Stopar is a senior staff scientist at the Lunar and Planetary Institute and deputy principal investigator on the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter's camera team, which discovered McGetchin crater.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  8. [8]

    McGetchin appeared seemingly out of nowhere in images from spring 2024 and is the biggest new crater scientists have seen in the 17 years the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter has been active.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  9. [9]

    The impact happened in April or May 2024, and one of Stopar's colleagues discovered the crater in Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter data in October 2025.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  10. [10]

    Stopar said the crater is only about 2.5 years old and is "in really, really good condition", not yet weathered.

    Reported Supported Source: Julie Stopar to Live ScienceView cited source
  11. [11]

    Stopar said that on Earth a lot of the original detail of impact craters is lost through weathering, degradation and time, while the Moon preserves it much better.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  12. [12]

    By the team's estimates, the meteorite that made the crater was the size of a three-to-six-story building.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  13. [13]

    NASA's Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter, a robotic satellite about the size of a minivan, has taken more than 3 million photos of the lunar surface since launching in 2009.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  14. [14]

    McGetchin's depth-to-diameter ratio is about 0.19.

    Derived Supported
  15. [15]

    About 17 months separated the April or May 2024 impact from the crater's identification in orbiter data in October 2025.

    Derived Supported
  16. [16]

    At one crater this size every 130 years, the expected number formed during the orbiter's 17 years of operation is about 0.13.

    Derived Supported
  17. [17]

    The Moon's largest crater is the South Pole-Aitken basin, about 10,000 times wider than the newly discovered crater.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  18. [18]

    The impact time is currently constrained to a window of about two months.

    Derived Supported
  19. [19]

    The impact occurred on the boundary between the dark, flat volcanic mare deposits and the brighter, hillier highlands of ancient crustal material, and that boundary is reflected in the materials excavated by the crater.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  20. [20]

    The South Pole-Aitken basin is therefore roughly 2,200 kilometers across.

    Derived Supported
  21. [21]

    Stopar said the orbiter circles the Moon about 12 times each day and can image only a small portion of the surface on each pass, so without an impact flash to indicate where to look the search for new craters is basically random, and repeat imaging of a given area takes years.

    Reported ContestedView cited source
  22. [22]

    Some skywatchers think they have spotted the crater's bright, white debris ring from Earth.

    Reported InsufficientView cited source
  23. [23]

    Stopar said flashes associated with smaller impacts have been observed from Earth and that it is possible, under good conditions, that this impact made a flash.

    Reported Insufficient Source: Julie Stopar to Live ScienceView cited source
  24. [24]

    Stopar said: "We don't know if anyone was watching, though".

    Reported Insufficient Source: Julie Stopar to Live ScienceView cited source
  25. [25]

    Stopar said: "if somebody out there has videos that they can dig through, they could go back and look for it".

    Reported Insufficient Source: Julie Stopar to Live ScienceView cited source

Sources

3 independent publishers whose own reporting we read for this story.

  1. livescience.com

    1 article · September 22, 2026

    'We only expect to encounter that once every 130 years': A huge new crater on the moon could mean a giant leap for lunar science, veteran researcher says
  2. nasa.gov

    1 article · September 22, 2026

    APOD: 2026 September 23 – A New Lunar Crater: McGetchin
  3. scientificamerican.com

    1 article · September 22, 2026

    Scientists discover largest new impact crater in the solar system ever—on our moon

Topics and entities

Topics

Entities