US reactor uprates could add 3 to 8 GW, a fraction of the AI demand PJM expects by 2030
Constellation plans to spend more than $4.3 billion to add nearly 1 GW at 11 reactors, MIT Technology Review reported. Per kilowatt that costs more than new solar with storage or gas, and Google and Meta signed long-term purchase deals.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption35
- Hype gap0
- Incentives65
- Confidence55
AEP plans to invest about $4 billion in a 702 MW Bloom fuel cell plant near Cheyenne, Wyoming, under a 20-year power purchase agreement with Google. The sum equals about 5% of the $78 billion AEP plans to invest from 2026 through 2030.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 27%
- Operator
- Operator 40%
- Investor
- Investor 33%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives65
- Confidence60
buildOne report1 publisher Applied Digital's power company Base Electron files confidentially for a U.S. IPO
Base Electron, the power company Applied Digital formed, confidentially filed for a U.S. IPO on October 9 around a planned 1.2-gigawatt North Dakota gas plant. The draft registration is not public, so investors cannot yet see the plant's revenue, margins or financing.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption15
- Hype gap0
- Incentives75
- Confidence55
Finland halts work at two of Google's three new data center sites a month after its 13 billion euro pledge
Finland's licensing agency halted work at Google's Muhos and Kajaani data center sites on October 6, a month after Google pledged at least 13 billion euros. Google had cleared forest there before environmental assessments were finished, so the delay so far comes from its own sequencing and lands before the 2027 spending window opens.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence40
Google contracted 3,590 megawatts from Constellation Energy, of which 890 megawatts is new nuclear capacity backed by more than $4.3 billion of uprates. That new slice is built to fit PJM's proposal that data centers bring their own power or face cutoffs at peak.
Perspective Coverage
13 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 12%
- Operator
- Operator 47%
- Investor
- Investor 41%
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence65
New Zealand's National Party would make AI data centres bring their own firmed power
New Zealand's National Party wants new AI data centres to bring their own firmed generation as their share of national power use heads for 3% by 2030. How strictly it defines firmed supply decides whether developers pay a contract price or the cost of new plant.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives45
- Confidence35
A pre-revenue Permian Basin developer signed a twenty-year contract for gas-fired electricity covering about a seventh of the campus it intends to build, and the market repriced the whole company on it.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence45
Bitcoin miners trade at 13 times sales on AI capacity that is 14% switched on
Public miners have announced $70 billion to $100 billion of AI and HPC contracts. Spread across 12-to-15-year terms that is roughly $6 billion a year, and 550 of about 4,000 contracted megawatts are earning it today.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+42
- Incentives72
- Confidence45
Renewabl's model puts the cheap cross-border vPPA 29 percent above in-country deals in a bad year
The vPPA European data center operators sign to hit renewable targets covers about 14 percent of their load hours in Renewabl's ten-year model and removes about 40 percent of their price risk. The first EU labels land in 2027.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives75
- Confidence45
New Era signs 20 years of Vistra power for the first 200 megawatts of its Texas data center
A New Era Energy subsidiary has contracted a minimum of 200 megawatts from a Vistra retail affiliate for two decades, covering Phase 1 of the Texas Critical Data Center only.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives72
- Confidence42
Hanwha Q CELLS and POSCO build an agrivoltaics supply chain on a 23-year permit
Korean farmland rules made operators pull solar equipment out after eight years, against hardware rated past 30. A law promulgated in June lifted the ceiling to 23 years, and the two companies signed an MOU on the 17th.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives75
- Confidence50
Resilience Energy keeps the title to the free solar it installs on other people's roofs
The pre-seed startup pays for solar and batteries on homes it does not own, then sells the peak output to utilities and data centre buyers. CEO Ameet Konkar says the first power purchase agreement is in late-stage negotiation.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption6
- Hype gap+44
- Incentives80
- Confidence52
Hyundai joins Commonwealth Fusion's $1 billion round to explore engineering ARC power stations
Hyundai Motor Group's money closed inside a $1 billion raise at Commonwealth Fusion Systems, and the engineering work on ARC power stations is still described as something the two companies will explore. The amount and the scope were not disclosed.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives68
- Confidence45
Google contracts 396 megawatts of Fervo geothermal for delivery starting in 2028
Fervo's Cape Station geocluster in Beaver County, Utah is meant to begin operating in 2028, and Google holds an option to raise its offtake toward a gigawatt by June 2030. No price has been published.
Reality
- Evidence54
- Adoption32
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives66
- Confidence50