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Citrini's 79-page report backs tokenization's fee collectors over bitcoin and ether

Citrini Research's 79-page report argues fee-collecting platforms and protocols could gain more from tokenization than bitcoin or ether. Even if bitcoin and ether set new highs, the report says, there are better ways to bet on tokenization.

The Investor · Invest desk

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Illustration accompanying Citrini's 79-page report backs tokenization's fee collectors over bitcoin and ether
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What happened

  • Citrini splits its picks into a listed-stock basket and a crypto-token basket, and says it is "actually more excited" about the tokens because they offer broader exposure.
  • The stock basket includes Securitize, Coinbase, Robinhood, Circle, Figure, SoFi and Bullish.
  • The token basket includes Aerodrome, Maple, Ondo, Pendle, Derive, ether.fi and Chainlink, plus newer perpetual-futures venues Lighter and Variational.
  • Citrini runs the most-followed Substack newsletter, with more than 263,000 followers, and its AI research earlier this year preceded a brief market meltdown.

Why it matters

  • What doesn't add up contradiction The report prefers tokens while warning that busier blockchains do not always lift token prices, so its favored basket relies on a link between usage and price that the report treats as unreliable.
  • Who has to decide decision An investor who accepts the fee thesis still has to choose between equity in record-keepers like Securitize and protocol tokens like Aerodrome, and the token-price caveat applies only to the second.
  • What's now possible capability Putting Hyperliquid in the stock basket through the Bitwise ETF means a token's fee economics can be held in a brokerage account, which makes the two-basket split less clean than it looks.

In the report's example, a tokenized stock could be pledged as collateral for a loan straight from an investor's digital wallet, with no brokerage in between [16]. Each step in that chain is a service someone charges for. The report names the parties placed to charge: trading platforms, lenders, stablecoin issuers and the companies that keep securities ownership records [18]. Bitcoin and ether are not on that list [18].

"We can't assume that majors, primarily BTC and ETH, will make new ATHs on this," the report said, using the shorthand for all-time highs. "Even if they do, there are better expressions." [7] The second sentence is the bolder one. It allows that the majors could rally and still argues for the fee collectors, so the test is relative. The thesis fails on its own terms if bitcoin and ether beat both baskets while stocks and bonds move onchain.

The fees can land in three places. One is listed intermediaries such as Securitize, which maintains the legal link between blockchain tokens and the securities they represent [3], or Figure, which the report cites for tokenized lending [4]. Fees that land there pay the stock basket. Another is protocols whose tokens rise with usage. The report cites Aerodrome, which could collect fees on tokenized stock trades [12], and Pendle, which lets investors trade future income from interest-bearing assets [13]. The third is protocols that earn the fees while their tokens go nowhere, a case the report flags itself [15].

The quoted case for the tokens is about scope. "If we're right that stocks, commodities and other financial assets are moving onchain, then eventually all of the financial products built around those assets should follow them," the report said [17]. CoinDesk's account names at least nine tokens against eight stock-basket holdings [19]. Among the tokens are the perpetual-futures venues Lighter and Variational, which the report expects to gain traction alongside the dominant Hyperliquid [14].

In my view the stock basket is the cleaner bet on the report's own logic. A listed exchange or record-keeper that earns a fee reports it as revenue to shareholders. A token holder needs the fee and the price to move together, and the report says they do not always [15]. The counter-case is Citrini's own: if every product built around those assets follows them onchain, most of the fee base will sit with protocols outside the stock basket [17].

What to watch

  • How bitcoin and ether perform against both Citrini baskets as stocks and bonds move onchain; the majors beating both would refute the report on its own terms.
  • Aerodrome's fees from tokenized stock trades set against AERO's price, the most direct check on the report's warning that activity does not always lift tokens.
  • Securitize's reported revenue as a listed company (SECZ), the equity-side test of whether record-keepers collect the fees the report expects.

Information, not investment advice. This story is general information about companies and markets, drawn from cited reporting. It is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security; check the cited sources before acting.

Clarity's read

What the record supports and how the coverage leans. The claims behind it follow.

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
Why these scores

Claim ledger

Ranked by verification strength, evidence, and original report placement.

  1. [1]

    Citrini Research published a 79-page report titled Breaking the Wall on Thursday.

  2. [2]

    Securitize, Coinbase, Robinhood and Circle are among the stocks highlighted as potential beneficiaries, alongside Figure, SoFi and Bullish.

  3. [3]

    Securitize (SECZ) maintains the legal link between blockchain tokens and the securities they represent.

    Reported Supported Source: CoinDesk, describing the Citrini report3 sources— create a free account to open themView cited source

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Sources

2 independent publishers whose own reporting we read for this story.

  1. coindesk.com

    1 article · October 8, 2026

    Wall Street's tokenization boom could have bigger winners than bitcoin and ether, Citrini says
  2. cryptobriefing.com

    2 articles · October 8, 2026

    Citrini Research says agentic finance signals a new era for crypto investing

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