buildOne report1 publisher The Neuron clocks NVIDIA's 74B Nemotron Bolt at 65.5 tokens per second on a laptop
The Neuron measured NVIDIA's Nemotron 3.5 Bolt 74B-A9B at 65.5 tokens per second on a laptop in a hands-on test. The build was heavily compressed, and the review's tool-assisted wins went to the hosted Super VL.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
buildConfirmed13 publishers Meta released Muse Spark Open, an 816B-parameter open-weight model that activates 42B parameters per token. Per The New Stack, a company above $20M in revenue needs a separate Meta agreement before selling it as a hosted service.
Perspective Coverage
13 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 40%
- Operator
- Operator 32%
- Investor
- Investor 28%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives65
- Confidence65
buildConfirmed2 publishers Reflection AI's Beam coding model computes 23B parameters per token but keeps all 501B in memory, according to AWS and Hugging Face. Self-hosting it starts from a roughly 1 TB BF16 checkpoint and multi-GPU sharding.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap
- Not scored
- Incentives60
- Confidence65
buildConfirmed12 publishers NVIDIA says its Nemotron 3.5 Bolt 74B-A9B agent model fits in 24GB and will ship with open weights, data and recipes. The footprint, the license terms and the quality claims stay unverified until the weights are live and outside testers have run them.
Perspective Coverage
12 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 40%
- Operator
- Operator 35%
- Investor
- Investor 25%
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence58
buildOne report1 publisher Nemotron 3.5 Super VL activates 12B of its 120B parameters on each token
NVIDIA's open Nemotron 3.5 Super VL is a 120B mixture-of-experts model that activates 12B parameters per token for text, image, document and video work. NVIDIA's post still places it in a multi-model system, so consolidation covers one tier.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives75
- Confidence40
buildConfirmed4 publishers Liquid AI says its LFM2.5-24B-A2B scores 48.09 on LiveClaw against 38.19 for the larger Qwen3.6-35B-A3B. The 184 tok/s it reports on an Apple M5 Max is a decode rate, so agent latency depends on how many tokens the model spends thinking.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 45%
- Operator
- Operator 33%
- Investor
- Investor 22%
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives65
- Confidence62
buildOne report1 publisher Fish Audio's open-weight Drama 3 tops a pronunciation benchmark at 93.2% under a $500,000 revenue cap
Fish Audio released a 35B mixture-of-experts speech model on Oct 13 that scores 93.2% on Artificial Analysis' pronunciation benchmark. Free commercial use stops at $500,000 in annual revenue, and the two-RTX-3090 setup is one Reddit user's report.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
buildOne report1 publisher Ai2's Olmo-core 3 trains a 47B MoE at 2.7 times its old throughput under random routing
Ai2's Olmo-core 3 reached about 52,000 tokens per second per GPU on a 47B mixture-of-experts model, roughly 2.7 times the old stack, on eight B300 GPUs. The report labels every headline rate as measured under random routing, so a team with a trained router has to rerun the comparison.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence58
buildOne report1 publisher Janas's 37 tok/s claim on an 80B model rests on one laptop and its author's own runs
Janas, a C engine by Maurizio Cammalleri, reports 37 tok/s on a 48.4 GB model with 32 GB of RAM, against 2.8 on llama.cpp. Speculative drafting supplies 13 of those 37, so the like-for-like figure is 24 tok/s.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
buildConfirmed2 publishers Qwen released eight open-weight Qwen3 models, two MoE and six dense, that each support thinking and non-thinking modes. On the model card, one chat-template argument, enable_thinking, picks the mode and defaults to True.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence70
buildOne report1 publisher Self-hosting Mistral Large 4 means loading 1.05 trillion parameters to run 52 billion per token
Mistral AI put Large 4, a 1.05-trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts model, into public preview on Oct. 6 and promised weights by October's end. Self-hosters can size memory now, though Mistral says the training run behind the preview is still going.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives65
- Confidence55
buildOne report1 publisher Aleph Alpha releases Kolibri, a 78B English-German MoE, under Apache 2.0
Aleph Alpha published Kolibri, a 78B-parameter English and German mixture-of-experts model, under Apache 2.0 with about 3.46B parameters active per token. Teams that cannot send prompts to outside servers can host it themselves if they pay for the GPUs.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives30
- Confidence50
AI firms want 2028 phones to run models more than three times what Qualcomm's 2nm chips handle
Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon says AI firms want phones running 100-billion-parameter models continuously by 2028, more than triple his newest chips' limit. Most of Qualcomm's plan for closing that gap is memory, the cost Amon says already deters phone upgrades.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives75
- Confidence40
buildConfirmed7 publishers Xiaomi's $850,000 and $2.62 million cover 30 reinforcement-learning steps apiece on models it had already pretrained. Xiaomi published the environments and the RL code but not the 7,000-plus task datasets behind them.
Perspective Coverage
7 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 56%
- Operator
- Operator 23%
- Investor
- Investor 21%
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives65
- Confidence62
Artificial Analysis measured the score itself, and the weights are on Hugging Face under MIT, but MiMo-V2.6-Pro holds 1.02 trillion parameters, so most teams will reach it through an API at $0.43 per million input tokens.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives45
- Confidence60
buildConfirmed6 publishers The quarter-size global KV cache and eighth-size persistent storage are serving-cost claims rather than benchmark scores, and banking the second one requires a prefix-cache tier your stack has to already run.
Perspective Coverage
6 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 53%
- Operator
- Operator 33%
- Investor
- Investor 14%
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption42
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives64
- Confidence63
buildOne report1 publisher DeepSeek V4.1 Flash's 36x discount to Claude Opus 5 depends on off-peak hours and low effort
DeepSeek V4.1 Flash costs $2.10 off-peak for an agent run that costs $75 on Claude Opus 5, about 36x less, according to a dev.to analysis. Paying peak-hour rates halves that gap to about 18x, and running at max effort cuts it to about 15x.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence35
Reflection AI says its first model, Beam, performs at the level of Z.ai's GLM-5.2 while using three to four times less compute than similar open models. Until outside testers report, those are the company's figures, and they count most with buyers who cannot use Chinese models.
Perspective Coverage
12 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 37%
- Operator
- Operator 28%
- Investor
- Investor 35%
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives75
- Confidence60
buildOne report1 publisher VIDRAFT ships a 111GB Darwin-180B that pages its experts from SSD on 8GB-VRAM laptops
VIDRAFT released a 111GB, 4-bit build of its 180B-parameter Darwin model that it says runs on a laptop with 8GB of VRAM and 32GB of RAM. Air-gapped teams still need a measured token rate on that laptop before they can price it against a server.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives85
- Confidence40
buildConfirmed13 publishers Reflection AI says Beam, its 501-billion-parameter open-weight model, needs three to four times less compute than comparable open models. Buyers have only the company's figures until the weights ship later in October.
Perspective Coverage
13 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 37%
- Operator
- Operator 35%
- Investor
- Investor 28%
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption8
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
Earlier coverage
- Aleph Alpha's open Kolibri model routes each token through 3.46B of its 78.1B parameters
Build · October 3, 2026 · Confirmed6 publishers
- Redis creator's ds4 engine squeezes a handful of open models into 96GB to 128GB of memory
Build · October 2, 2026 · Confirmed2 publishers
- Ai2's Olmo-core 3 gets 2.7x its old MoE throughput by keeping experts resident on GPUs
Build · October 1, 2026 · Confirmed2 publishers
- Kimi K3's real gate is 1.4TB of VRAM and a bespoke licence, not engineering
Build · August 20, 2026 · Confirmed2 publishers
- Tencent's 770B Hy4 weights make model spend a memory-capacity question
Invest · August 30, 2026 · Confirmed2 publishers
- DeepSeek's new encoder-decoder splits inference into an 8B prefill and a 16B decode
Build · September 11, 2026 · Confirmed3 publishers
- Filling GLM-5.3-Flash's million-token window costs three times its per-task benchmark price
Build · September 20, 2026 · Confirmed2 publishers
- A 30B model that activates 3B still has to keep all 30B in VRAM
Build · September 15, 2026 · One report1 publisher
- Edge0's 35B would need 22 GB/s of SSD bandwidth without the file cache
Build · September 11, 2026 · Confirmed2 publishers