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Science Reports disagree8 publishers 3 min read Published Updated

Hubble caught a ten-sided jet wave assembling at Saturn's south pole

Saturn's northern hexagon has looked the same for more than 40 years, so a second polygon that only shows up in images from 2023 onward hands atmospheric modellers a formation they can watch happen rather than a finished structure to explain.

The Scientist · Science desk

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What happened

  • A Science Advances paper describes a giant, evolving 10-sided atmospheric wave circling Saturn's south pole, the first large regular-sided jet pattern seen in the planet's southern hemisphere.
  • Amy Simon, who leads Hubble's OPAL program, says the southern wave appears to be strengthening, whereas the northern hexagon has looked the same every time anyone has checked across more than 40 years.
  • Researchers had hunted a southern counterpart to the hexagon in Hubble images since 1990, and Cassini's 2004 to 2017 imagery showed no long-lived formation there, yet the Hubble data confirm this one back to 2023.
  • The wave sits inside one of Saturn's powerful jet streams and extends through multiple atmospheric layers, making it a vertically extended structure rather than a pattern painted on the cloud tops.

Why it matters

  • What's now possible capability Modellers get a formation sequence to fit rather than only a finished shape to reverse-engineer, which is a stricter and more informative test of any theory of Saturnian polar jets.
  • What it limits constraint Because the south pole is only presentable to Earth for part of Saturn's long year, the cadence of this investigation is set by orbital geometry rather than by how fast the wave is changing.
  • Who has to decide decision Until monitoring shows whether the decagon steadies or decays, treating the hexagon as the standard end state for a polar jet on Saturn is a working assumption rather than a result.
  • What it sets up precedent Contributed amateur imagery prompting a space-telescope look sets an expectation for how slow planetary changes get caught, given that no survey can stare at every target continuously.

Calling the decagon new rests on a negative result, and a negative result is only as strong as the coverage behind it. Cassini's tour spanned 13 years [19], and its images showed no inkling of a long-lived formation at the south pole [11]. The OPAL program, meanwhile, has photographed the outer planets annually for more than a decade [5], so the empty stretch of the record is a sampled gap rather than an unwatched one. The weaker leg is the ground-based one: the south pole was only coming back into view from Earth as Saturn's seasons turned [12], and Hubble's edge over ground observers is precisely that it images full rotations at high spatial resolution without smearing by Earth's atmosphere [3].

Who noticed it first depends on which account you read. NASA, ESA and phys.org tell it as a ground-up find, with Agustin Sanchez-Lavega of the University of the Basque Country [9] and amateur observers Trevor Barry and Jean-Paul Oger picking out a subtle undulating band in images contributed to his university's Planetary Virtual Observatory Laboratory in 2024, and 2025 frames making the shape more convincing [7]. Discover magazine leads with the telescope, reporting that the first signs turned up in red-filtered Hubble frames in October 2023, with 2024 and 2025 observations clarifying them [2]. Both can be true of the same archive, and the sequence matters for how much the 2023 images prove, because a pattern recognised once you know its shape is weaker evidence than one found without a prior.

Mechanism is at the candidate stage. The team ran shallow-water simulations, a deliberately thin stand-in for Saturn's troposphere [8], and came out with two plausible drivers: a spatially periodic disturbance in a zonal jet stream, or a swirling vortex that may sit near a Red Spot slightly to the north [10]. The simulations show that a ten-lobed wave is dynamically available in a simplified model, without pinning down which disturbance actually grew this one. The wave's apparent position also shifts with observing wavelength, since each wavelength probes a different altitude [15], so any model-to-image comparison has to fix a height before it can claim agreement.

The census is the number to hold on to. Saturn's inventory of regular polar jet polygons goes from one to two with this paper [20], the first being the hexagon that Voyager photographed during its 1980 and 1981 flybys and that has persisted for over 40 years without substantial change [16], which leaves two examples on record, too small a sample to call a trend. Amy Simon's own framing is a question rather than a finding, which is why it suddenly formed now when nothing like it had been seen before [22]. Mike Wong's remark about OPAL is the operational lesson here, that its discoveries rest on years of repeat imaging rather than any single observation [17].

None of this transfers to terrestrial weather. Saturn can hold a geometric jet because it has no solid surface and a far more uniform composition, while Earth receives nearly 100 times more sunlight and has mountains standing in the flow [18].

What to watch

  • A reanalysis of the Cassini archive turning up a weak southern precursor would move the start date and soften the claim that the wave formed recently.
  • Webb observations sampling altitudes Hubble cannot reach would test whether the wave stays coherent with depth or drifts between layers.
  • A full circulation model that reproduces the hexagon and the decagon together would discriminate between the zonal-jet disturbance and the vortex driver.

Clarity's read

What the record supports and how the coverage leans. The claims behind it follow.

Reality

Evidence78
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives30
Confidence72

Perspective Coverage

10 publishers
Builder
Builder 39%
Operator
Operator 39%
Investor
Investor 22%
Why these scores

Claim ledger

Ranked by verification strength, evidence, and original report placement.

  1. [1]

    Hubble observations revealed a giant, evolving, 10-sided atmospheric wave encircling Saturn's south pole, the first time a large, regular-sided jet pattern has been observed in the planet's southern hemisphere.

    Reported Supported
  2. [2]

    In October 2023, researchers saw the first signs of the decagon wave in red-filtered images taken by the Hubble Space Telescope; further observations in 2024 and 2025 gave a clear picture of the pattern.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  3. [3]

    Hubble's view from space offers unmatched image sharpness and spatial resolution over full rotations of Saturn, without smearing by Earth's atmosphere.

    Reported Supported
  4. [4]

    The results are published in the journal Science Advances.

    Reported Supported
  5. [5]

    The Hubble observations, dating back to 2023, were taken as part of the Outer Planet Atmospheres Legacy (OPAL) program, which has photographed the outer planets annually for more than a decade.

    Reported Supported
  6. [6]

    The authors say further study using Hubble and the James Webb Space Telescope, plus analysis of computer models, is needed to understand how the decagon formed, how long it may last, and how it compares with the long-lived northern hexagon.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  7. [7]

    It was in ground-based images contributed to the University of the Basque Country's Planetary Virtual Observatory Laboratory website, first in 2024, that Sanchez-Lavega and amateur astronomers Trevor Barry and Jean-Paul Oger noticed a subtle undulating band along the southern pole; additional 2025 ground-based imagery hinted more strongly at the decagon structure.

    Reported Supported
  8. [8]

    Researchers used shallow water model simulations representing a simplified version of Saturn's troposphere, the lowest atmospheric layer where weather patterns are shaped.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  9. [9]

    Agustin Sanchez-Lavega, lead author of the new study, is a researcher at the University of the Basque Country in Spain.

    Reported Supported
  10. [10]

    The researchers concluded the wave may have been created by a spatially periodic disturbance in a zonal jet stream, or driven by a swirling vortex that might be near a Red Spot slightly to the north.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  11. [11]

    Sanchez-Lavega said the team had been searching Hubble images for a southern counterpart to Saturn's northern hexagon since 1990, that images from Cassini, which orbited Saturn between 2004 and 2017, showed no inkling of a long-lived formation either, and that the Hubble data confirmed the feature's presence back to 2023.

    Reported Supported Source: Agustin Sanchez-Lavega, University of the Basque Country
  12. [12]

    The discovery was possible because Saturn's changing seasons gradually brought the planet's south pole back into view from Earth, where astronomers analysing ground-based observatory images first identified it.

    Reported Supported
  13. [13]

    The team plans to continue observing Saturn to determine whether the decagon settles into a long-lived, stable configuration like the northern hexagon or continues to evolve.

    Reported Supported
  14. [14]

    The wave sits within one of Saturn's powerful jet streams and extends through multiple layers of the atmosphere, indicating it is not just a cloud-level feature but a vertically extended atmospheric structure.

    Reported Supported
  15. [15]

    The decagon's apparent position shifts slightly because Hubble captures images at different wavelengths, and those wavelengths probe different altitudes in Saturn's atmosphere.

    Reported Supported
  16. [16]

    Saturn's six-sided northern polar wave was revealed in images taken during Voyager flybys in 1980 and 1981 and has persisted for over 40 years without substantial changes.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  17. [17]

    Study co-author Mike Wong of the University of California, Berkeley said many OPAL discoveries are based not on one observation but on years and years of data, and that regular observations over time are enabling new findings.

    Reported Supported Source: Mike Wong, University of California, Berkeley
  18. [18]

    According to NASA, Earth's atmosphere lacks such symmetric polygonal structures partly because Earth receives nearly 100 times more sunlight than Saturn and has a non-uniform surface with mountains disturbing atmospheric flow, while Saturn has no solid surface and a far more uniform composition.

    Reported SupportedView cited source
  19. [19]

    Cassini's time in Saturn orbit spanned 13 years.

    Derived Supported
  20. [20]

    The count of known regular polygonal polar jet patterns on Saturn goes from one to two with this study.

    Derived Supported
  21. [21]

    Amy Simon, OPAL principal investigator at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center and a study co-author, said the northern hexagon has been there every time they looked for more than 40 years, while the new feature appears to be strengthening, giving a rare opportunity to watch a giant atmospheric pattern develop.

    Reported Contested Source: Amy Simon, NASA Goddard, OPAL principal investigator
  22. [22]

    Simon said the most intriguing part is that the feature seems to have just formed recently, and the question is why it suddenly formed now when no such feature had been seen before.

    Reported Contested Source: Amy Simon, NASA Goddard

Sources

8 independent publishers whose own reporting we read for this story.

  1. discovermagazine.com

    1 article · September 2, 2026

    Hubble Images Uncover Massive 10-Sided Wave Brewing at Saturn's South Pole
  2. esa.int

    1 article · September 2, 2026

    Hubble tracks new decagon encircling Saturn’s south pole
  3. livescience.com

    1 article · September 3, 2026

    Hubble spots a mysterious 10-sided 'decagon' growing around Saturn's south pole
  4. nasa.gov

    1 article · September 2, 2026

    NASA’s Hubble Tracks New Decagon Encircling Saturn’s South Pole
  5. newscientist.com

    1 article · September 2, 2026

    Saturn has a big, weird decagon around its south pole
  6. phys.org

    1 article · September 2, 2026

    Hubble tracks new decagon encircling Saturn's south pole
  7. physicsworld.com

    1 article · September 4, 2026

    Astronomers discover unusual 10-sided atmospheric wave on Saturn
  8. sciencedaily.com

    1 article · September 3, 2026

    NASA scientists discover a giant 10-sided pattern on Saturn
  9. sciencenews.org

    1 article · September 2, 2026

    New Hubble images reveal a bizarre decagon over Saturn’s south pole
  10. scientificamerican.com

    1 article · September 2, 2026

    Scientists discover a mysterious wave shaped like a decagon in Saturn's atmosphere

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